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Championship

Referee: L Doughty

Barnsley

S T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Stoke

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Championship · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 26%

14%

37%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

37%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

43%

49%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barnsley 23. · Stoke 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	36	24	7	5	+57	79
2	Huddersfield	36	18	11	7	+18	65
3	Bournemouth	34	18	9	7	+23	63
4	Blackburn	36	17	9	10	+14	60
5	Sheffield United	34	17	7	10	+16	58
6	Middlesbrough	35	17	7	11	+11	58
7	Coventry	36	16	9	11	+9	57
8	Luton	34	16	8	10	+11	56
9	QPR	36	16	8	12	+8	56
10	Preston	38	14	14	10	+2	56
11	West Brom	37	15	10	12	+9	55
12	Millwall	35	14	10	11	+2	52
13	Blackpool	36	14	9	13	+2	51
14	Nott'm Forest	32	14	8	10	+12	50
15	Derby	38	12	12	14	-3	48
16	Stoke	35	13	8	14	+5	47
17	Swansea	34	13	8	13	-4	47
18	Cardiff	38	13	7	18	-8	46
19	Bristol City	37	12	7	18	-18	43
20	Birmingham	38	10	11	17	-17	41
21	Hull	38	11	7	20	-9	40
22	Reading	37	11	6	20	-24	39
23	Barnsley	35	5	9	21	-26	24
24	Peterboro	35	5	7	23	-45	22
25	Peterborough	34	5	6	23	-45	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	20	13	4	3	+30	43
2	Middlesbrough	19	13	2	4	+15	41
3	Blackburn	18	12	3	3	+17	39
4	Huddersfield	18	11	5	2	+15	38
5	Derby	19	10	6	3	+10	36
6	Luton	17	10	4	3	+13	34
7	Coventry	18	10	4	4	+13	34
8	West Brom	17	9	6	2	+14	33
9	QPR	19	9	6	4	+10	33
10	Millwall	17	9	5	3	+8	32
11	Blackpool	19	10	2	7	+4	32
12	Bournemouth	16	9	4	3	+15	31
13	Swansea	17	9	4	4	+10	31
14	Sheffield United	16	9	3	4	+17	30
15	Preston	19	7	9	3	+4	30
16	Stoke	19	8	4	7	+6	28
17	Nott'm Forest	17	8	3	6	+5	27
18	Bristol City	19	7	5	7	-1	26
19	Cardiff	19	7	2	10	+1	23
20	Birmingham	18	6	5	7	-2	23
21	Reading	19	6	4	9	-9	22
22	Hull	19	5	3	11	-8	18
23	Peterboro	16	4	5	7	-6	17
24	Peterborough	16	4	5	7	-6	17
25	Barnsley	16	4	4	8	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	16	11	3	2	+27	36
2	Bournemouth	18	9	5	4	+8	32
3	Sheffield United	18	8	4	6	-1	28
4	Huddersfield	18	7	6	5	+3	27
5	Preston	19	7	5	7	-2	26
6	Nott'm Forest	15	6	5	4	+7	23
7	QPR	17	7	2	8	-2	23
8	Coventry	18	6	5	7	-4	23
9	Cardiff	19	6	5	8	-9	23
10	Hull	19	6	4	9	-1	22
11	Luton	17	6	4	7	-2	22
12	West Brom	20	6	4	10	-5	22
13	Blackburn	18	5	6	7	-3	21
14	Millwall	18	5	5	8	-6	20
15	Stoke	16	5	4	7	-1	19
16	Blackpool	17	4	7	6	-2	19
17	Birmingham	20	4	6	10	-15	18
18	Middlesbrough	16	4	5	7	-4	17
19	Reading	18	5	2	11	-15	17
20	Bristol City	18	5	2	11	-17	17
21	Swansea	17	4	4	9	-14	16
22	Derby	19	2	6	11	-13	12
23	Barnsley	19	1	5	13	-19	8
24	Peterboro	19	1	2	16	-39	5
25	Peterborough	18	1	1	16	-39	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.