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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Amiens
T U T T T
1–3
Full-time
Red Star
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/31 matches
Win Ø 32%
19%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
52%
Both score Ø 51%
56%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 18. · Red Star 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 32 19 7 6 +24 64
2 Le Mans 32 15 13 4 +17 58
3 St Etienne 32 17 6 9 +17 57
4 Reims 32 13 13 6 +16 52
5 Rodez 32 13 13 6 +4 52
6 Red Star 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Montpellier 32 14 8 10 +11 50
8 Annecy 32 14 7 11 +10 49
9 Pau FC 32 12 9 11 -10 45
10 Dunkerque 32 11 10 11 +10 43
11 Guingamp 32 10 10 12 -5 40
12 Boulogne 32 9 9 14 -13 36
13 Grenoble 32 6 15 11 -8 33
14 Clermont 32 7 10 15 -8 31
15 Nancy 32 7 10 15 -20 31
16 Laval 32 5 14 13 -15 29
17 Bastia 31 4 13 14 -15 25
18 Amiens 32 6 6 20 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Red Star
11′
J. Ikanga 0–1
K. Cabral
31′
🔁 J. Escartin
↦ P. Lemonnier
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Ntamack
A. Leautey
50′
Aboubacar Lô 🟨
53′
N. Kandil 🔁
↦ E. Somon
57′
73′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ J. Ikanga
73′
🔁 P. M. Ba
↦ K. Cabral
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
76′
Y. Rafii 🔁
↦ S. Ntamack
81′
O. Aissat 🔁
↦ K. Kaiboue
81′
81′
🔁 S. E. Khaoui
↦ D. Durand
81′
🔁 A. Hachem
↦ M. Huard
82′
P. M. Ba 1–2
S. E. Khaoui
90′
H. Benali 1–3
A. Hachem
C. Louis 🔁
↦ A. Lo
91′
R. Lutin 🔁
↦ T. Averlant
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Amiens

3-4-3
16 A. Sauvage G
39 A. Chabane D
6 T. Monconduit D
28 A. Lo D
14 A. Leautey M
45 I. Fofana M
20 K. Kaiboue M
11 T. Averlant M
87 E. Somon F
90 S. Ntamack F
7 I. Hamache F
Bench (7)
40 P. Bernardoni
44 C. Louis
19 Y. Rafii
10 N. Kandil
80 S. Alvero
27 R. Lutin
46 O. Aissat

Coach: Julien Ielsch

Red Star

3-5-2
16 G. Poussin G
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
3 M. Huard D
2 T. Magnin M
4 B. Pierret M
27 B. Danger M
98 R. Hachem M
7 D. Durand M
23 J. Ikanga F
91 K. Cabral F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
10 S. E. Khaoui
29 H. Benali
21 A. Hachem
9 P. M. Ba
25 G. Trani
5 J. Escartin

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,08
U
3,74
B ✓
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.