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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Paris FC
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Rodez
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 53%
31%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 11. · Rodez 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 16 10 3 3 +8 33
2 Angers 16 9 4 3 +12 31
3 Auxerre 16 8 5 3 +15 29
4 Grenoble 16 7 7 2 +5 28
5 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 +1 26
6 Guingamp 16 6 6 4 +7 24
7 St Etienne 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Ajaccio 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Rodez 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Amiens 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Paris FC 16 6 2 8 -2 20
12 Caen 16 5 4 7 +0 19
13 Annecy 16 4 7 5 -3 19
14 Concarneau 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
16 Bastia 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Dunkerque 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Quevilly Rouen 16 2 6 8 -5 12
20 Valenciennes 16 1 8 7 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Rodez
1–0 P. Hamel
I. Kebbal
1′
2–0 P. Hamel
23′
Kouadio Dabila 🟨
30′
Cyril Mandouki 🟨
35′
39′
🟨 Joris Chougrani
Half-time 2–0
Y. Koré 🔁
↦ K. Dabila
61′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ C. Mandouki
61′
65′
🔁 A. Ngouyamsa
↦ L. Buadés
66′
🔁 W. Taïbi
↦ W. Younoussa
74′
🔁 K. Corredor
↦ L. Rajot
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ J. Lukembila
75′
80′
🔁 C. Dépres
↦ T. Arconte
80′
🔁 R. Lipinski
↦ A. Abdallah
L. Doucet 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
82′
A. Jabbari 🔁
↦ P. Hamel
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
22 S. Alakouch D
13 K. Dabila D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
8 Y. Demoncy M
14 C. Mandouki M
7 A. Gory M
10 I. Kebbal M
23 J. Lukembila M
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
25 Y. Koré
17 A. Camara
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
18 L. Doucet
38 A. Jabbari
11 A. Pembélé
40 I. Filipović

Coach: S. Gilli

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
19 L. Buadés D
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
28 A. Abdallah D
7 W. Younoussa M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
22 T. Arconte F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
6 A. Ngouyamsa
10 W. Taïbi
12 K. Corredor
25 C. Dépres
3 R. Lipinski
1 S. Cibois
18 A. Valério

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,41
B
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.