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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Paris FC
S S S S U
3–3
Full-time
Rodez
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
73%
27%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

74% Possession 26%
13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 1. · Rodez 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 11 8 1 2 +11 25
2 Lorient 11 7 2 2 +10 23
3 Annecy 11 5 4 2 +5 19
4 Amiens 11 6 1 4 +4 19
5 Dunkerque 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 Metz 11 5 3 3 +7 18
7 Grenoble 11 5 2 4 +6 17
8 Guingamp 11 5 1 5 +1 16
9 Bastia 10 3 6 1 +2 15
10 Pau FC 11 4 3 4 -2 15
11 Laval 11 4 2 5 +2 14
12 Clermont 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Rodez 11 3 2 6 -2 11
14 Caen 11 3 2 6 -4 11
15 Ajaccio 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Red Star 11 3 2 6 -9 11
17 Troyes 11 3 1 7 -9 10
18 Martigues 11 2 2 7 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Rodez
10′
N. Galves 0–1
T. Nkada
1–1 L. Doucet
J. Krasso
34′
37′
I. Baldé 1–2
A. Abdallah
45′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
Half-time 1–3
48′
I. Baldé 1–3
N. Galves
Maxime López 🟨
51′
2–3 M. Lopez
53′
V. Marchetti 🔁
↦ L. Doucet
60′
65′
🔁 D. Jean
↦ I. Baldé
3–3 J. Krasso
A. Gory
67′
71′
🟨 Wilitty Younoussa
74′
🔁 D. Mazou-Sacko
↦ W. Younoussa
74′
🔁 M. Bouchouari
↦ A. Abdallah
T. Ollila 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
80′
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ A. Gory
80′
O. Sissoko 🔁
↦ J. Krasso
85′
J. López 🔁
↦ A. Camara
85′
85′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ W. Taïbi
85′
🔁 T. Bentayeb
↦ T. Nkada
88′
🟨 Lionel M'Pasi
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
6 A. Soumahoro D
27 J. Gaudin D
8 L. Doucet M
21 M. Lopez M
17 A. Camara M
10 I. Kebbal M
11 J. Krasso F
7 A. Gory F
Bench (7)
4 V. Marchetti
2 T. Ollila
12 N. Dicko
18 O. Sissoko
20 J. López
1 R. Riou
15 T. Kolodziejczak

Coach: S. Gilli

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Laurent D
17 A. Pelon D
4 S. Mambo D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
18 I. Baldé F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
20 D. Jean
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
11 M. Bouchouari
7 M. Achi
22 T. Bentayeb
1 S. Cibois
2 É. Vandenabeele

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
3,82
B
4,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.