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Ligue 2
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Rodez
S S T U S
2–2
Full-time
Paris FC
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rodez 4. · Paris FC 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 38 21 11 6 +36 74
2 Angers 38 20 8 10 +14 68
3 St Etienne 38 19 8 11 +17 65
4 Rodez 38 16 12 10 +11 60
5 Paris FC 38 16 11 11 +7 59
6 Caen 38 17 7 14 +6 58
7 Laval 38 15 10 13 -5 55
8 Amiens 38 12 17 9 +0 53
9 Guingamp 38 13 12 13 +4 51
10 Pau FC 38 13 12 13 +3 51
11 Grenoble 38 13 12 13 -1 51
12 Bordeaux 38 14 9 15 -2 51
13 Bastia 38 14 9 15 -4 51
14 Annecy 38 12 10 16 -1 46
15 Ajaccio 38 12 10 16 -11 46
16 Dunkerque 38 12 10 16 -16 46
17 Troyes 38 9 15 14 -7 42
18 Quevilly Rouen 38 7 17 14 -4 38
19 Concarneau 38 10 8 20 -18 38
20 Valenciennes 38 5 12 21 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Paris FC
4′
N. Dicko 0–1
J. Lukembila
1–1 B. Danger
9′
2–1 K. Corredor
E. Jaouen
33′
37′
🟨 M. Mbow
Half-time 2–1
48′
🟥 M. Mbow
48′
🟨 M. Mbow
52′
🔁 A. Jabbari
↦ N. Dicko
62′
🔁 J. Gaudin
↦ T. Ollila
62′
🔁 P. Hamel
↦ J. Lukembila
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
68′
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ D. Sylla
68′
70′
🟨 A. Camara
71′
🟨 R. Riou
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
76′
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ A. Hountondji
76′
83′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ J. López
84′
🔁 A. Pembélé
↦ V. Marchetti
W. Younoussa 🟨
89′
S. Mambo Muzalijoma 🟨
94′
96′
K. Dabila 2–2
S. Raux-Yao
penalty missed
121′
122′
J. Gaudin 2–3
L. Buadés
penalty missed
123′
124′
L. Doucet
penalty missed
G. Haag
penalty missed
125′
126′
P. Hamel 2–4
3–4 B. Danger
127′
128′
C. Mandouki
penalty missed
4–4 K. Corredor
129′
130′
A. Jabbari
penalty missed
5–4 Y. Verdier
131′
132′
A. Camara
penalty missed
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Rodez

40 E. Jaouen
14 B. Danger
28 A. Abdallah
4 S. Mambo
15 S. Raux-Yao
11 D. Sylla
8 L. Rajot
24 G. Haag
10 W. Taïbi
12 K. Corredor
17 A. Hountondji
Bench (7)
3 R. Lipinski
19 L. Buadés
7 W. Younoussa
26 Y. Verdier
1 S. Cibois
6 A. Ngouyamsa
5 K. Boma

Coach: D. Santini

Paris FC

16 O. Nkambadio
15 T. Kolodziejczak
13 K. Dabila
2 T. Ollila
5 M. Mbow
14 C. Mandouki
4 V. Marchetti
17 A. Camara
12 N. Dicko
20 J. López
23 J. Lukembila
Bench (7)
38 A. Jabbari
27 J. Gaudin
29 P. Hamel
18 L. Doucet
11 A. Pembélé
1 R. Riou
6 P. Lasne

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.