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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Ross County
U T T U S
3–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
36%
53%
Both score Ø 48%
29%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 9. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 12 3 0 +29 39
2 Rangers 14 10 1 3 +22 31
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 +2 23
4 St Mirren 15 6 4 5 -2 22
5 Hibernian 15 5 6 4 +1 21
6 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
7 Kilmarnock 15 4 5 6 -1 17
8 Motherwell 15 3 5 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -9 14
10 Aberdeen 13 3 4 6 -8 13
11 ST Johnstone 14 2 5 7 -13 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Motherwell
1–0 S. Murray
J. Brown
2′
2–0 Y. Dhanda
J. Baldwin
18′
20′
🟨 Blair Spittal
Jordan White 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Zdravkovski
↦ S. Blaney
46′
🔁 G. Gent
↦ B. Mugabi
46′
🔁 C. Butcher
↦ C. Wilkinson
3–0 B. Purrington
56′
Ben Purrington ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
58′
59′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ T. Bair
69′
🟨 Georgie Gent
V. Loturi 🔁
↦ C. Randall
71′
71′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ C. Butcher
K. Turner 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
77′
J. Sims 🔁
↦ J. White
77′
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ S. Murray
87′
William Nightingale 🟨
88′
William Nightingale 🟨
92′
William Nightingale 🟥
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
2 C. Randall M
6 S. Allardice M
3 B. Purrington M
10 Y. Dhanda F
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
14 V. Loturi
7 K. Turner
11 J. Sims
25 A. Samuel
21 R. Munro
43 J. Reid
12 M. Sheaf
16 G. Harmon
30 D. Smith

Coach: D. Adams

Motherwell

3-1-4-2
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
8 C. Slattery M
22 B. Spencer M
99 C. Wilkinson M
7 B. Spittal M
2 S. O'Donnell M
14 T. Bair F
24 M. Biereth F
Bench (9)
17 D. Zdravkovski
3 G. Gent
66 C. Butcher
9 J. Obika
18 O. Shaw
39 L. Ross
37 D. Wells
42 M. Ross
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,12
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.