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Coppa Italia

Referee: J Sacchi

Lazio

S U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Reggiana	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.