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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
2–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Corners 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 26. · Gornik Zabrze 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Widzew Lodz 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Arka Gdynia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Stal Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Stal Mielec 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Wisła Puławy 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Garbarnia Kraków 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Polonia Warszawa 3 2 0 1 -1 6
16 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Polonia Bytom 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Tychy 71 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze
Half-time 0–0
A. Gorgon 🔁
↦ João Gamboa
65′
M. Fornalczyk 🔁
↦ O. Korczakowski
65′
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ F. Ulvestad
65′
Rafał Kurzawa 🟨
70′
1–0 K. Grosicki
72′
75′
🔁 D. Yokota
↦ R. Dadok
75′
🔁 M. Sipľak
↦ E. Janža
75′
🔁 N. Barczak
↦ K. Lukoszek
Léo Borges 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
78′
82′
🔁 Filipe Nascimento
↦ P. Olkowski
82′
🔁 P. Krawczyk
↦ Ł. Podolski
90′
S. Musiolik 1–1
93′
🟨 Filipe Nascimento
2–1 Léo Borges
95′
P. Stolarski 🔁
↦ L. Wahlqvist
99′
111′
🟨 Norbert Barczak
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-3-3
V. Cojocaru G
L. Wahlqvist D
B. Zech D
M. Malec D
L. Koútris D
F. Ulvestad M
R. Kurzawa M
João Gamboa M
O. Korczakowski M
E. Koulouris F
K. Grosicki M
Bench (9)
A. Gorgon
M. Fornalczyk
V. Bichakhchyan
Léo Borges
P. Stolarski
A. Przyborek
B. Klebaniuk
L. Zahović
W. Lisowski

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
M. Szromnik G
P. Olkowski M
K. Szcześniak D
K. Triantafyllópoulos D
E. Janža D
R. Dadok D
D. Rasak M
L. Ennali F
Ł. Podolski F
K. Lukoszek M
S. Musiolik F
Bench (9)
D. Yokota
M. Sipľak
N. Barczak
Filipe Nascimento
P. Krawczyk
D. Bielica
D. Szala
M. Chmarek
R. Janicki

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.