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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Stoke
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Birmingham
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 31/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
42%
59%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 13. · Birmingham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 32 20 7 5 +52 67
2 Bournemouth 31 17 8 6 +23 59
3 Blackburn 33 16 9 8 +16 57
4 Huddersfield 32 14 11 7 +9 53
5 Sheffield United 31 15 7 9 +12 52
6 West Brom 33 14 10 9 +12 52
7 Middlesbrough 31 15 7 9 +11 52
8 QPR 32 15 7 10 +9 52
9 Preston 34 13 12 9 +2 51
10 Coventry 32 14 8 10 +9 50
11 Luton 30 13 8 9 +8 47
12 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 +10 46
13 Stoke 31 13 7 11 +8 46
14 Blackpool 32 12 8 12 -1 44
15 Millwall 32 11 10 11 -1 43
16 Derby 33 10 12 11 -3 42
17 Swansea 31 11 8 12 -4 41
18 Bristol City 33 11 7 15 -15 40
19 Cardiff 33 11 6 16 -8 39
20 Birmingham 34 9 10 15 -15 37
21 Hull 33 9 6 18 -11 33
22 Reading 33 9 6 18 -22 33
23 Peterborough 30 5 6 19 -37 21
24 Peterboro 31 5 6 20 -38 21
25 Barnsley 31 3 9 19 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Birmingham
12′
J. James 0–1
O. Hernández
1–1 T. Campbell
T. Harwood-Bellis
25′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Campbell
B. Wilmot
52′
58′
G. Gardner 2–2
D. Wright-Phillips 🔁
↦ S. Clucas
70′
S. Fletcher 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
79′
81′
🔁 L. Jutkiewicz
↦ J. Bacuna
T. Smith 🔁
↦ B. Wilmot
85′
86′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ J. James
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stoke

4-3-3
12 J. Bursik G
19 P. Jagielka D
14 J. Tymon D
16 B. Wilmot D
24 T. Harwood-Bellis D
4 J. Allen M
7 S. Clucas M
42 L. Baker M
47 J. Philogene-Bidace F
10 T. Campbell F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
32 D. Wright-Phillips
9 S. Fletcher
2 T. Smith
13 J. Bonham
15 J. Thompson
6 L. Moore
3 M. Fox

Coach: M. O'Neill

Birmingham

4-3-3
1 N. Etheridge G
2 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
20 G. Gardner M
25 O. Hernández F
11 Jérémie Bela D
24 J. Graham D
6 R. Woods M
21 J. Bacuna F
19 J. James M
33 L. Taylor F
Bench (7)
10 L. Jutkiewicz
34 I. Šunjić
46 B. Khela
39 J. Bellingham
52 M. Oakley
53 T. Campbell
27 C. Trueman

Coach: L. Bowyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
U ✓
3,65
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.