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Premiership

Referee: G Irvine

ST Johnstone

U S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Hearts

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

15%

46%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

31%

38%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

1,8

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	26	20	3	3	+42	63
2	Rangers	26	19	5	2	+34	62
3	Hearts	26	12	7	7	+8	43
4	Dundee United	26	9	6	11	-6	33
5	Motherwell	26	9	6	11	-12	33
6	St Mirren	25	7	11	7	-9	32
7	Hibernian	26	8	7	11	-4	31
8	Aberdeen	26	8	6	12	-2	30
9	Livingston	26	8	6	12	-8	30
10	Ross County	26	6	9	11	-6	27
11	Dundee	25	5	6	14	-21	21
12	ST Johnstone	26	4	8	14	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	14	11	3	0	+23	36
2	Celtic	12	10	2	0	+26	32
3	Hearts	14	8	3	3	+12	27
4	Motherwell	13	7	2	4	-2	23
5	Aberdeen	13	6	3	4	+5	21
6	Dundee United	13	7	0	6	-2	21
7	Hibernian	13	5	3	5	+0	18
8	St Mirren	13	3	7	3	+0	16
9	Ross County	13	3	6	4	-1	15
10	Livingston	12	4	2	6	-2	14
11	Dundee	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	ST Johnstone	13	1	5	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Rangers	12	8	2	2	+11	26
3	Hearts	12	4	4	4	-4	16
4	Livingston	14	4	4	6	-6	16
5	St Mirren	12	4	4	4	-9	16
6	Hibernian	13	3	4	6	-4	13
7	Dundee United	13	2	6	5	-4	12
8	Ross County	13	3	3	7	-5	12
9	ST Johnstone	13	3	3	7	-8	12
10	Motherwell	13	2	4	7	-10	10
11	Aberdeen	13	2	3	8	-7	9
12	Dundee	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.