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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Ried

S U T S T

3–2

Full-time

Tirol

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

32%

21%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

74%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

17 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 7. · Tirol 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	19	15	3	1	+31	48
2	Wolfsberger AC	19	10	4	5	+4	34
3	Sturm Graz	19	9	5	5	+11	32
4	A. Klagenfurt	19	6	8	5	-1	26
5	Austria Vienna	19	5	9	5	+4	24
6	SK Rapid	19	6	6	7	-1	24
7	Ried	19	6	6	7	-11	24
8	Hartberg	19	5	7	7	+0	22
9	LASK	19	5	6	8	-3	21
10	Tirol	19	4	8	7	-10	20
11	Admira	19	3	8	8	-4	17
12	Altach	19	3	4	12	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+22	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	Ried	9	5	4	0	+5	19
4	SK Rapid	10	5	1	4	+4	16
5	Sturm Graz	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	5	1	+0	14
7	Tirol	10	2	6	2	+3	12
8	LASK	10	3	3	4	+0	12
9	Austria Vienna	9	2	5	2	+2	11
10	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Admira	9	2	2	5	+1	8
12	Altach	10	1	2	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	3	2	-1	15
4	Austria Vienna	10	3	4	3	+2	13
5	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
6	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	LASK	9	2	3	4	-3	9
8	Admira	10	1	6	3	-5	9
9	SK Rapid	9	1	5	3	-5	8
10	Altach	9	2	2	5	-7	8
11	Tirol	9	2	2	5	-13	8
12	Ried	10	1	2	7	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.