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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Coventry
S T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Barnsley
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Championship · 32/31 matches
Win Ø 27%
44%
10%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 10. · Barnsley 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 32 20 7 5 +52 67
2 Bournemouth 31 17 8 6 +23 59
3 Blackburn 33 16 9 8 +16 57
4 Huddersfield 32 14 11 7 +9 53
5 Sheffield United 31 15 7 9 +12 52
6 West Brom 33 14 10 9 +12 52
7 Middlesbrough 31 15 7 9 +11 52
8 QPR 32 15 7 10 +9 52
9 Preston 34 13 12 9 +2 51
10 Coventry 32 14 8 10 +9 50
11 Luton 30 13 8 9 +8 47
12 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 +10 46
13 Stoke 31 13 7 11 +8 46
14 Blackpool 32 12 8 12 -1 44
15 Millwall 32 11 10 11 -1 43
16 Derby 33 10 12 11 -3 42
17 Swansea 31 11 8 12 -4 41
18 Bristol City 33 11 7 15 -15 40
19 Cardiff 33 11 6 16 -8 39
20 Birmingham 34 9 10 15 -15 37
21 Hull 33 9 6 18 -11 33
22 Reading 33 9 6 18 -22 33
23 Peterborough 30 5 6 19 -37 21
24 Peterboro 31 5 6 20 -38 21
25 Barnsley 31 3 9 19 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Barnsley
Half-time 0–0
68′
🟨 Domingos Quina
71′
🔁 J. Benson
↦ R. Palmer
76′
🔁 D. Cole
↦ R. Vita
82′
🔁 J. Moon
↦ C. Brittain
F. Tavares 🔁
↦ M. Waghorn
84′
1–0 D. Hyam
93′
F. Dabo 🔁
↦ T. Kane
96′
99′
🟨 Carlton Morris
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

3-4-1-2
1 S. Moore G
5 K. McFadzean D
20 T. Kane M
15 D. Hyam D
3 J. Clarke-Salter D
18 I. Maatsen M
8 J. Allen M
14 B. Sheaf M
10 C. O'Hare F
9 M. Waghorn F
17 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (7)
30 F. Tavares
23 F. Dabo
34 R. Dinanga
26 J. Shipley
4 M. Rose
27 J. Bidwell
13 B. Wilson

Coach: M. Robins

Barnsley

3-4-3
40 B. Collins G
30 M. Helik D
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams D
7 C. Brittain M
26 R. Vita M
28 Domingos Quina F
17 C. Gomes M
21 R. Palmer M
14 C. Morris F
4 C. Styles F
Bench (7)
10 J. Benson
44 D. Cole
15 J. Moon
1 J. Walton
33 M. Wolfe
24 A. Halme
23 W. Hondermarck

Coach: P. Asbaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,99
B
6,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.