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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Holstein Kiel

S U U T U

2–3

Full-time

Bielefeld

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

32%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

64%

60%

Both score Ø 72%

80%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 10. · Bielefeld 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	26	16	7	3	+20	55
2	Heidenheim	26	14	9	3	+23	51
3	Hamburg	26	15	5	6	+16	50
4	St Pauli	26	12	8	6	+12	44
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	13	4	9	+11	43
6	Paderborn	25	12	4	9	+17	40
7	Kaiserslautern	26	10	10	6	+5	40
8	Karlsruhe	26	10	5	11	+1	35
9	Hannover	26	9	7	10	+2	34
10	Holstein Kiel	25	8	10	7	+1	34
11	Greuther Furth	25	7	9	9	-4	30
12	Nurnberg	26	8	5	13	-16	29
13	Magdeburg	25	8	4	13	-14	28
14	Braunschweig	26	6	8	12	-13	26
15	Regensburg	26	7	5	14	-16	26
16	Bielefeld	25	7	4	14	-5	25
17	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-16	25
18	Sandhausen	26	5	6	15	-24	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	13	10	3	0	+22	33
2	Darmstadt	13	8	5	0	+14	29
3	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+13	29
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+14	27
5	Hamburg	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
7	Greuther Furth	13	6	6	1	+6	24
8	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Kaiserslautern	13	5	6	2	+3	21
10	Karlsruhe	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Nurnberg	13	6	1	6	-1	19
12	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	+1	18
13	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	-6	17
14	Holstein Kiel	12	4	4	4	+3	16
15	Bielefeld	13	5	1	7	+1	16
16	Magdeburg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-12	12
18	Hansa Rostock	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	2	3	+6	26
2	Hamburg	13	7	3	3	+5	24
3	Kaiserslautern	13	5	4	4	+2	19
4	Heidenheim	13	4	6	3	+1	18
5	Holstein Kiel	13	4	6	3	-2	18
6	Paderborn	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	5	1	7	-3	16
8	Magdeburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
9	St Pauli	13	4	3	6	-1	15
10	Hansa Rostock	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Karlsruhe	12	4	2	6	-1	14
12	Hannover	13	3	4	6	-2	13
13	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
14	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Regensburg	13	3	0	10	-10	9
16	Sandhausen	14	2	3	9	-12	9
17	Braunschweig	13	1	5	7	-14	8
18	Greuther Furth	12	1	3	8	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.