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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Hertha
U S U U T
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — DFB-Pokal · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,7
4,0
Scored
3,7
3,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

69% Possession 31%
20 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 8. · Kaiserslautern 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 4 3 1 0 +9 10
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 +13 9
4 M'gladbach 3 3 0 0 +10 9
5 Kaiserslautern 3 3 0 0 +8 9
6 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 FC Saarbrücken 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +8 7
9 Nurnberg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
10 Paderborn 3 2 0 1 +7 6
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 0 1 +7 6
12 Wolfsburg 3 2 0 1 +6 6
13 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 FC 08 Homburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Hamburg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
16 Holstein Kiel 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Magdeburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +6 3
19 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 SpVgg Unterhaching 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 FC Viktoria Koln 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
31 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hansa Rostock 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Sandhausen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Kaiserslautern
5′
J. Elvedi 0–1
T. Puchacz
20′
🟨 Richmond Tachie
38′
R. Tachie 0–2
M. Ritter
Half-time 0–2
F. Reese 🔁
↦ M. Dárdai
46′
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
46′
49′
🔁 J. Zimmer
↦ F. Ronstadt
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
63′
G. Christensen 🔁
↦ D. Scherhant
63′
63′
🔁 F. Stojilković
↦ R. Tachie
63′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ M. Ritter
69′
F. Kaloč 0–3
Haris Tabaković 🟨
74′
Aymen Barkok 🟨
78′
85′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ R. Ache
1–3 F. Reese
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hertha

3-4-2-1
35 M. Gersbeck G
37 T. Leistner D
20 M. Kempf D
31 M. Dárdai D
16 J. Kenny M
34 D. Zeefuik M
18 A. Barkok M
6 M. Karbownik M
7 F. Niederlechner F
39 D. Scherhant F
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
11 F. Reese
5 A. Bouchalakis
9 S. Prevljak
26 G. Christensen
47 T. Rölke
27 P. Dárdai
12 T. Ernst
17 N. El-Jindaoui
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: P. Dárdai

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
18 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
2 B. Tomiak D
6 A. Touré D
27 F. Ronstadt M
26 F. Kaloč M
16 J. Niehues M
15 T. Puchacz M
7 M. Ritter F
29 R. Tachie F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
8 J. Zimmer
25 F. Stojilković
17 A. Opoku
40 D. Abiama
24 B. Simakala
20 T. Raschl
14 N. Soldo
30 A. Spahić
11 K. Redondo

Coach: D. Grammozis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.