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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Braun

Hamburg

U S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Paderborn

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,7

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 54%

57%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

53%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Paderborn 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	30	19	7	4	+24	64
2	Heidenheim	30	17	9	4	+30	60
3	Hamburg	30	17	5	8	+19	56
4	Paderborn	30	15	5	10	+24	50
5	St Pauli	30	14	8	8	+12	50
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	15	5	10	+11	50
7	Kaiserslautern	30	11	11	8	+5	44
8	Hannover	30	11	7	12	-1	40
9	Holstein Kiel	30	10	10	10	-4	40
10	Karlsruhe	30	11	6	13	+1	39
11	Magdeburg	30	11	5	14	-10	38
12	Greuther Furth	30	9	9	12	-6	36
13	Nurnberg	30	9	6	15	-18	33
14	Braunschweig	30	8	8	14	-16	32
15	Hansa Rostock	30	9	4	17	-20	31
16	Bielefeld	30	8	5	17	-9	29
17	Regensburg	30	7	7	16	-18	28
18	Sandhausen	30	7	7	16	-24	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	15	11	3	1	+24	36
2	Darmstadt	15	10	5	0	+16	35
3	Paderborn	15	11	0	4	+26	33
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	10	3	2	+16	33
5	Hamburg	15	10	2	3	+17	32
6	St Pauli	15	9	5	1	+13	32
7	Greuther Furth	15	7	6	2	+5	27
8	Karlsruhe	15	7	3	5	+4	24
9	Kaiserslautern	15	6	6	3	+4	24
10	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
11	Nurnberg	15	7	2	6	+1	23
12	Braunschweig	15	6	3	6	+1	21
13	Holstein Kiel	15	5	4	6	+0	19
14	Regensburg	15	4	7	4	-6	19
15	Magdeburg	15	5	3	7	-3	18
16	Bielefeld	15	5	2	8	-1	17
17	Sandhausen	15	4	4	7	-13	16
18	Hansa Rostock	15	4	1	10	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	2	4	+8	29
2	Heidenheim	15	6	6	3	+6	24
3	Hamburg	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	Holstein Kiel	15	5	6	4	-4	21
5	Kaiserslautern	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Magdeburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
7	St Pauli	15	5	3	7	-1	18
8	Hansa Rostock	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Paderborn	15	4	5	6	-2	17
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	2	8	-5	17
11	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	Karlsruhe	15	4	3	8	-3	15
13	Bielefeld	15	3	3	9	-8	12
14	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-17	11
16	Nurnberg	15	2	4	9	-19	10
17	Greuther Furth	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Regensburg	15	3	0	12	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.