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Championship

Referee: M Salisbury

Middlesbrough

T S T S T

0–3

Full-time

Rotherham

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Rotherham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Championship · 25/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

44%

23%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

40%

45%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 7. · Rotherham 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	25	16	5	4	+14	53
2	Watford	26	13	8	5	+12	47
3	Reading	25	13	5	7	+9	44
4	Bournemouth	24	11	9	4	+18	42
5	Brentford	21	11	7	3	+15	40
6	Swansea	21	11	6	4	+12	39
7	Middlesbrough	25	11	6	8	+9	39
8	Bristol City	25	12	3	10	+0	39
9	Stoke	26	9	10	7	+3	37
10	Blackburn	25	10	6	9	+12	36
11	Preston	26	11	3	12	-2	36
12	Barnsley	23	10	4	9	-1	34
13	Luton	25	9	6	10	-6	33
14	Huddersfield	26	9	4	13	-8	31
15	Millwall	25	6	12	7	-3	30
16	Cardiff	24	8	5	11	+2	29
17	QPR	25	6	9	10	-8	27
18	Coventry	24	6	8	10	-12	26
19	Birmingham	25	6	8	11	-12	26
20	Sheffield Weds	23	6	7	10	-8	25
21	Nott'm Forest	25	6	7	12	-9	25
22	Derby	25	6	7	12	-9	25
23	Rotherham	22	5	5	12	-9	20
24	Wycombe	23	3	6	14	-19	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	13	10	2	1	+14	32
2	Norwich	13	8	4	1	+9	28
3	Bournemouth	12	7	3	2	+11	24
4	Reading	12	8	0	4	+7	24
5	Middlesbrough	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Bristol City	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Swansea	11	6	4	1	+8	22
8	Huddersfield	13	7	1	5	+5	22
9	Barnsley	11	6	2	3	+3	20
10	Brentford	10	5	4	1	+7	19
11	Blackburn	12	5	4	3	+6	19
12	Luton	12	5	4	3	+2	19
13	Stoke	13	5	3	5	-1	18
14	Sheffield Weds	12	4	5	3	+1	17
15	Coventry	11	4	5	2	-1	17
16	Nott'm Forest	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	Cardiff	13	4	2	7	+2	14
18	Preston	13	4	2	7	-3	14
19	QPR	12	3	4	5	-3	13
20	Rotherham	11	3	3	5	+0	12
21	Millwall	12	1	8	3	-3	11
22	Wycombe	12	2	4	6	-6	10
23	Derby	13	2	4	7	-9	10
24	Birmingham	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	12	8	1	3	+5	25
2	Preston	13	7	1	5	+1	22
3	Brentford	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Reading	13	5	5	3	+2	20
5	Stoke	13	4	7	2	+4	19
6	Millwall	13	5	4	4	+0	19
7	Bournemouth	12	4	6	2	+7	18
8	Birmingham	12	4	6	2	+2	18
9	Blackburn	13	5	2	6	+6	17
10	Swansea	10	5	2	3	+4	17
11	Middlesbrough	13	4	4	5	+0	16
12	Bristol City	12	5	1	6	-3	16
13	Cardiff	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	Derby	12	4	3	5	+0	15
15	Watford	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Barnsley	12	4	2	6	-4	14
17	QPR	13	3	5	5	-5	14
18	Luton	13	4	2	7	-8	14
19	Nott'm Forest	12	2	3	7	-9	9
20	Coventry	13	2	3	8	-11	9
21	Huddersfield	13	2	3	8	-13	9
22	Rotherham	11	2	2	7	-9	8
23	Sheffield Weds	11	2	2	7	-9	8
24	Wycombe	11	1	2	8	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.