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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Gent
T U T U S
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 23/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
43%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 12. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 12 8 4 +18 44
2 Antwerp 23 13 5 5 +14 44
3 Club Brugge 21 13 4 4 +28 43
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 12 6 8 +4 42
5 Waregem 28 13 3 12 +1 42
6 Mechelen 24 12 4 8 +4 40
7 Anderlecht 25 8 13 4 +11 37
8 Beerschot VA 26 11 4 11 -4 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
10 Charleroi 25 10 4 11 +0 34
11 Eupen 26 8 10 8 -8 34
12 Gent 23 10 3 10 +9 33
13 Kortrijk 26 9 6 11 -5 33
14 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
15 St Truiden 26 7 6 13 -10 27
16 Cercle Brugge 25 8 1 16 -9 25
17 Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 6 13 -21 21
20 Beveren 24 5 6 13 -21 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent St Truiden
23′
F. Colidio 0–1
C. Durkin
Half-time 0–1
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ M. Mohammadi
46′
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ I. Plastun
61′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ O. Bukari
66′
72′
🟨 Jorge Teixeira
Alessio Castro-Montes 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 D. Nazon
↦ Y. Suzuki
83′
🔁 C. Brüls
↦ F. Colidio
90′
🟨 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon
91′
🔁 S. Mmaee
↦ I. Mboyo
91′
🔁 I. Sankhon
↦ L. Cacace
0–2 D. Schmidt
own goal
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Gent

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
32 I. Plastun D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
22 S. Marreh M
30 N. Dorsch M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
11 A. Niangbo
23 Y. Malede
31 B. Godeau
36 D. Arslanagić
33 D. Roef
6 E. Owusu

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

St Truiden

5-2-3
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
3 M. Caufriez D
27 D. Lavalée D
13 L. Cacace D
32 C. Durkin M
16 S. De Ridder M
7 I. Mboyo F
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
90 D. Nazon
44 C. Brüls
20 S. Mmaee
8 I. Sankhon
12 S. Asamoah
2 K. Matsubara
1 K. Steppe

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
4,16
B
5,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.