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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Rotherham
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 35/34 matches
Win Ø 43%
26%
59%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
60%
35%
Both score Ø 42%
54%
29%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 22. · Middlesbrough 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 35 19 11 5 +27 68
2 Middlesbrough 34 20 7 7 +27 67
3 Hull 32 19 6 7 +30 63
4 Brighton 34 17 12 5 +15 63
5 Derby 34 15 12 7 +15 57
6 Cardiff 35 14 13 8 +9 55
7 Birmingham 34 15 9 10 +8 54
8 Ipswich 34 15 9 10 +2 54
9 Sheffield Weds 33 14 11 8 +14 53
10 Preston 35 12 13 10 +1 49
11 Reading 34 11 11 12 +2 44
12 QPR 35 10 14 11 -1 44
13 Wolves 35 11 10 14 -6 43
14 Brentford 35 12 7 16 -7 43
15 Nott'm Forest 34 10 12 12 +1 42
16 Leeds 34 9 14 11 -8 41
17 Blackburn 34 9 13 12 +1 40
18 Huddersfield 35 10 9 16 -4 39
19 Fulham 35 8 13 14 -5 37
20 Bristol City 35 9 10 16 -24 37
21 Milton Keynes Dons 35 9 8 18 -18 35
22 Rotherham 35 9 5 21 -20 32
23 Charlton 35 6 10 19 -34 28
24 Bolton 35 4 13 18 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Middlesbrough
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ F. Richardson
25′
Richard Smallwood 🟨
27′
Matt Derbyshire 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
D. Ward 🔁
↦ L. Best
58′
64′
🔁 S. Downing
↦ C. Stuani
Jerome Thomas 🟨
71′
J. Clarke-Harris 🔁
↦ J. Thomas
75′
75′
🔁 J. Rhodes
↦ D. Nugent
76′
🟨 Gastón Ramírez
Greg Halford 🟨
85′
1–0 L. Frecklington
J. Clarke-Harris
88′
Greg Halford 🟨
89′
Greg Halford 🟥
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rotherham

1 L. Camp G
5 K. Broadfoot D
15 G. Halford M
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
16 F. Richardson D
7 J. Thomas M
8 L. Frecklington M
33 R. Smallwood M
27 M. Derbyshire F
50 L. Best F
Bench (7)
12 S. Kelly
9 D. Ward
19 J. Clarke-Harris
11 P. Green
17 G. Ward
22 J. Newell
30 P. Kenny

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
3 G. Friend D
6 B. Gibson D
22 D. Fry D
24 Nsue D
27 A. Adomah M
8 A. Clayton M
21 G. Ramírez M
34 A. Forshaw M
35 D. Nugent F
18 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
19 S. Downing
9 J. Rhodes
7 G. Leadbitter
10 C. De Pena
16 J. De Sart
25 M. Agazzi
26 T. Kalas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.