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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Blackburn
S S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Rotherham
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
39%
22%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
67%
39%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 13. · Rotherham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 19 10 7 2 +19 37
2 Norwich 18 11 4 3 +8 37
3 Watford 19 9 7 3 +10 34
4 Reading 18 10 3 5 +7 33
5 Swansea 18 9 5 4 +9 32
6 Brentford 18 8 7 3 +11 31
7 Middlesbrough 19 8 6 5 +6 30
8 Stoke 19 8 6 5 +4 30
9 Bristol City 19 9 3 7 +0 30
10 Cardiff 19 8 5 6 +8 29
11 Barnsley 19 8 4 7 -1 28
12 Luton 19 7 5 7 -4 26
13 Blackburn 18 7 4 7 +10 25
14 Millwall 19 5 9 5 -1 24
15 Huddersfield 18 7 3 8 -5 24
16 Preston 19 7 2 10 -4 23
17 Birmingham 19 5 7 7 -3 22
18 Coventry 18 5 6 7 -7 21
19 QPR 19 4 7 8 -8 19
20 Rotherham 18 4 4 10 -8 16
21 Nott'm Forest 19 4 4 11 -11 16
22 Derby 19 3 7 9 -12 16
23 Sheffield Weds 19 3 6 10 -11 15
24 Wycombe 19 2 5 12 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Rotherham
38′
🟨 Michael Ihiekwe
Half-time 0–0
Barry Douglas 🟨
58′
A. Bell 🔁
↦ B. Douglas
59′
S. Downing 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
59′
61′
M. Smith 0–1
M. Crooks
64′
🟨 Jamie Lindsay
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ J. Buckley
68′
T. Trybull 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
68′
70′
🔁 G. Hirst
↦ M. Smith
71′
🔁 F. Ladapo
↦ K. Vassell
71′
🔁 W. Harding
↦ B. Wiles
1–1 H. Elliott
A. Armstrong
80′
T. Dolan 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
89′
Ryan Nyambe 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Billy Jones
94′
🔁 B. Jones
↦ D. Barlaser
2–1 A. Armstrong
Daniel Ayala
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
5 Daniel Ayala D
26 D. Lenihan D
2 R. Nyambe D
4 B. Johnson M
8 J. Rothwell M
21 J. Buckley M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (9)
17 A. Bell
6 S. Downing
10 L. Holtby
19 T. Trybull
39 T. Dolan
13 A. Pears
25 H. Carter
11 H. Chapman
34 B. Lyons

Coach: T. Mowbray

Rotherham

3-5-2
1 V. Johansson G
6 R. Wood D
21 A. MacDonald D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
22 M. Olosunde M
25 M. Crooks M
16 J. Lindsay M
26 D. Barlaser M
8 B. Wiles M
24 M. Smith F
7 K. Vassell F
Bench (8)
9 G. Hirst
10 F. Ladapo
19 W. Harding
2 B. Jones
14 M. Miller
27 J. Blackman
28 F. Jozefzoon
5 A. Thompson

Coach: P. Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,98
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.