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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
QPR
T T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Stoke
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 19. · Stoke 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 18 11 4 3 +8 37
2 Bournemouth 18 9 7 2 +18 34
3 Watford 18 9 6 3 +10 33
4 Reading 18 10 3 5 +7 33
5 Swansea 17 9 5 3 +11 32
6 Brentford 17 8 6 3 +11 30
7 Bristol City 18 9 3 6 +2 30
8 Stoke 18 8 5 5 +4 29
9 Middlesbrough 18 7 6 5 +5 27
10 Cardiff 18 7 5 6 +7 26
11 Luton 18 7 5 6 -3 26
12 Blackburn 18 7 4 7 +10 25
13 Barnsley 18 7 4 7 -2 25
14 Huddersfield 18 7 3 8 -5 24
15 Preston 18 7 2 9 -3 23
16 Birmingham 18 5 7 6 -2 22
17 Millwall 18 4 9 5 -3 21
18 Coventry 18 5 6 7 -7 21
19 QPR 18 4 6 8 -8 18
20 Rotherham 18 4 4 10 -8 16
21 Sheffield Weds 18 3 6 9 -9 15
22 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 -13 13
23 Derby 18 2 7 9 -14 13
24 Wycombe 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Stoke
Yoann Barbet 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
Niko Hämäläinen 🟨
50′
C. Willock 🔁
↦ A. Adomah
57′
D. Ball 🔁
↦ T. Carroll
57′
66′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ J. Brown
M. Bonne 🔁
↦ L. Dykes
77′
79′
🔁 J. Thompson
↦ J. Tymon
82′
🔁 T. Oakley-Boothe
↦ N. Powell
82′
🔁 T. Verlinden
↦ J. McClean
86′
🟨 Harry Souttar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

QPR

4-2-3-1
13 T. Dieng G
20 G. Cameron M
6 Y. Barbet D
2 T. Kane D
4 R. Dickie D
25 N. Hamalainen D
37 A. Adomah M
22 T. Carroll M
11 B. Osayi-Samuel M
10 I. Chair M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (9)
21 C. Willock
12 D. Ball
7 M. Bonne
19 G. Thomas
26 F. Bettache
23 C. Masterson
39 D. De Silva
32 L. Kelly
29 C. Kelman

Coach: M. Warburton

Stoke

4-2-3-1
32 J. Bursik G
12 J. Chester D
3 M. Fox D
36 H. Souttar D
35 J. Tymon M
37 N. Collins D
11 J. McClean M
7 T. Ince M
25 N. Powell M
24 J. Cousins M
18 J. Brown F
Bench (9)
21 S. Fletcher
34 J. Thompson
20 T. Oakley-Boothe
23 T. Verlinden
17 R. Shawcross
14 T. Smith
28 A. Lonergan
6 D. Batth
9 S. Vokes

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U ✓
3,21
B
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.