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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Sassuolo

U T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Napoli

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

27%

65%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Napoli 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	27	24	3	0	+42	75
2	Napoli	26	17	5	4	+27	56
3	Milan	27	14	9	4	+18	51
4	Inter	27	15	5	7	+18	50
5	Atalanta	27	13	5	9	+18	44
6	Roma	26	12	8	6	+13	44
7	Torino	27	11	11	5	+12	44
8	Lazio	25	12	5	8	+9	41
9	Sampdoria	27	11	6	10	+9	39
10	Fiorentina	26	8	12	6	+9	36
11	Parma	27	9	6	12	-11	33
12	Sassuolo	26	7	10	9	-6	31
13	Genoa	27	7	9	11	-10	30
14	Cagliari	27	6	9	12	-16	27
15	Udinese	26	6	7	13	-14	25
16	Spal	27	5	8	14	-18	23
17	Empoli	26	5	7	14	-18	22
18	Bologna	27	4	9	14	-18	21
19	Frosinone	27	3	8	16	-31	17
20	Chievo	27	1	10	16	-33	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	12	2	0	+23	38
2	Napoli	14	10	3	1	+20	33
3	Milan	14	9	3	2	+11	30
4	Inter	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Roma	12	7	4	1	+12	25
6	Torino	13	8	1	4	+8	25
7	Lazio	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Sampdoria	13	7	2	4	+10	23
9	Atalanta	13	6	3	4	+9	21
10	Cagliari	13	5	6	2	+4	21
11	Genoa	14	5	6	3	+2	21
12	Fiorentina	12	5	5	2	+9	20
13	Empoli	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Sassuolo	13	4	6	3	-2	18
15	Udinese	14	5	3	6	-4	18
16	Parma	14	4	4	6	-6	16
17	Bologna	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Spal	13	2	6	5	-7	12
19	Chievo	14	1	5	8	-14	8
20	Frosinone	13	0	5	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	12	1	0	+19	37
2	Atalanta	14	7	2	5	+9	23
3	Napoli	12	7	2	3	+7	23
4	Milan	13	5	6	2	+7	21
5	Inter	14	6	3	5	+3	21
6	Torino	14	3	10	1	+4	19
7	Roma	14	5	4	5	+1	19
8	Lazio	12	5	2	5	+0	17
9	Parma	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Fiorentina	14	3	7	4	+0	16
11	Sampdoria	14	4	4	6	-1	16
12	Sassuolo	13	3	4	6	-4	13
13	Frosinone	14	3	3	8	-13	12
14	Spal	14	3	2	9	-11	11
15	Genoa	13	2	3	8	-12	9
16	Bologna	14	1	5	8	-11	8
17	Udinese	12	1	4	7	-10	7
18	Cagliari	14	1	3	10	-20	6
19	Chievo	13	0	5	8	-19	5
20	Empoli	12	0	4	8	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.