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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

St Etienne

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Lille

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 52%

44%

59%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

6 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	23	2	1	+64	71
2	Lille	27	16	6	5	+21	54
3	Lyon	28	14	8	6	+14	50
4	Marseille	27	13	5	9	+8	44
5	St Etienne	27	12	7	8	+3	43
6	Reims	28	10	13	5	+3	43
7	Montpellier	27	10	11	6	+7	41
8	Nice	27	11	7	9	-7	40
9	Strasbourg	28	9	11	8	+10	38
10	Rennes	26	10	7	9	+1	37
11	Nimes	27	10	6	11	-2	36
12	Angers	27	8	10	9	+0	34
13	Bordeaux	28	8	9	11	-3	33
14	Nantes	27	8	7	12	-3	31
15	Toulouse	27	6	10	11	-16	28
16	Amiens	28	8	4	16	-19	28
17	Monaco	28	6	9	13	-15	27
18	Dijon	27	5	6	16	-20	21
19	Caen	27	3	11	13	-14	20
20	Guingamp	27	4	7	16	-32	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	Lille	14	9	4	1	+17	31
3	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+15	30
4	St Etienne	13	9	2	2	+13	29
5	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+15	27
6	Reims	14	6	6	2	+5	24
7	Bordeaux	14	6	5	3	+4	23
8	Nice	13	7	2	4	+0	23
9	Rennes	13	6	4	3	+6	22
10	Strasbourg	14	5	6	3	+6	21
11	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	+7	20
12	Angers	14	5	5	4	+3	20
13	Nantes	13	5	4	4	+7	19
14	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
15	Amiens	14	6	1	7	-3	19
16	Monaco	15	3	5	7	-10	14
17	Toulouse	13	2	7	4	-4	13
18	Dijon	13	3	3	7	-9	12
19	Caen	14	2	5	7	-6	11
20	Guingamp	14	2	4	8	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Lille	13	7	2	4	+4	23
3	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+0	21
4	Lyon	14	5	5	4	-1	20
5	Reims	14	4	7	3	-2	19
6	Strasbourg	14	4	5	5	+4	17
7	Nimes	14	5	2	7	-7	17
8	Marseille	14	5	2	7	-7	17
9	Nice	14	4	5	5	-7	17
10	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Toulouse	14	4	3	7	-12	15
12	Angers	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-10	14
14	Monaco	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Nantes	14	3	3	8	-10	12
16	Bordeaux	14	2	4	8	-7	10
17	Caen	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-11	9
19	Amiens	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Guingamp	13	2	3	8	-22	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.