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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Marseille

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Nice

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

48%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

56%

22%

Both score Ø 39%

52%

26%

Average goals

2,9

1,7

Scored

1,6

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 4. · Nice 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	23	2	1	+64	71
2	Lille	28	17	6	5	+22	57
3	Lyon	28	14	8	6	+14	50
4	Marseille	27	13	5	9	+8	44
5	Reims	28	10	13	5	+3	43
6	St Etienne	28	12	7	9	+2	43
7	Montpellier	28	10	12	6	+7	42
8	Rennes	27	11	7	9	+3	40
9	Nice	27	11	7	9	-7	40
10	Strasbourg	28	9	11	8	+10	38
11	Nimes	27	10	6	11	-2	36
12	Angers	28	8	11	9	+0	35
13	Bordeaux	28	8	9	11	-3	33
14	Nantes	27	8	7	12	-3	31
15	Toulouse	28	7	10	11	-15	31
16	Amiens	28	8	4	16	-19	28
17	Monaco	28	6	9	13	-15	27
18	Dijon	27	5	6	16	-20	21
19	Caen	28	3	11	14	-16	20
20	Guingamp	28	4	7	17	-33	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	Lille	14	9	4	1	+17	31
3	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+15	30
4	St Etienne	14	9	2	3	+12	29
5	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+15	27
6	Rennes	14	7	4	3	+8	25
7	Reims	14	6	6	2	+5	24
8	Bordeaux	14	6	5	3	+4	23
9	Nice	13	7	2	4	+0	23
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+7	21
11	Strasbourg	14	5	6	3	+6	21
12	Angers	14	5	5	4	+3	20
13	Nantes	13	5	4	4	+7	19
14	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
15	Amiens	14	6	1	7	-3	19
16	Toulouse	14	3	7	4	-3	16
17	Monaco	15	3	5	7	-10	14
18	Dijon	13	3	3	7	-9	12
19	Caen	14	2	5	7	-6	11
20	Guingamp	14	2	4	8	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Lille	14	8	2	4	+5	26
3	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+0	21
4	Lyon	14	5	5	4	-1	20
5	Reims	14	4	7	3	-2	19
6	Strasbourg	14	4	5	5	+4	17
7	Nimes	14	5	2	7	-7	17
8	Marseille	14	5	2	7	-7	17
9	Nice	14	4	5	5	-7	17
10	Angers	14	3	6	5	-3	15
11	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	Toulouse	14	4	3	7	-12	15
13	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-10	14
14	Monaco	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Nantes	14	3	3	8	-10	12
16	Bordeaux	14	2	4	8	-7	10
17	Caen	14	1	6	7	-10	9
18	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-11	9
19	Amiens	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Guingamp	14	2	3	9	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.