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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Sp Braga
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Chaves
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Chaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
70%
25%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 3. · Chaves 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 21 16 3 2 +30 51
2 Benfica 20 15 2 3 +27 47
3 Sp Braga 20 14 4 2 +21 46
4 Sp Lisbon 20 12 3 5 +14 39
5 Moreirense 21 11 2 8 -2 35
6 Guimaraes 21 9 5 7 +4 32
7 Belenenses 20 7 8 5 +1 29
8 Rio Ave 21 7 7 7 +0 28
9 Portimonense 21 8 3 10 -5 27
10 Santa Clara 20 7 3 10 -2 24
11 Tondela 21 6 5 10 -5 23
12 Vitoria Setubal 20 5 6 9 -4 21
13 Aves 21 6 3 12 -11 21
14 Maritimo 21 6 2 13 -13 20
15 Nacional 20 5 5 10 -15 20
16 Boavista 20 5 4 11 -11 19
17 Chaves 20 5 3 12 -13 18
18 Feirense 20 2 8 10 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -18 Chaves – Sp Braga 0–1 18. Mar -18 Chaves – Sp Braga 1–4 29. Oct -17 Sp Braga – Chaves 1–0 11. Mar -17 Chaves – Sp Braga 0–0 24. Oct -16 Sp Braga – Chaves 1–0

Match report

Sp Braga Chaves
10′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Lionn
33′
🟨 Jefferson
Raul Silva 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ Luís Martins 0–1
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
56′
João Novais 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
56′
63′
🔁 N. Ćalasan
↦ Niltinho
1–1 Dyego Sousa ⚽
Sequeira
64′
Fransergio 🟨
70′
73′
🟨 Antonio Filipe
74′
🔁 Costinha
↦ Rúben Macedo
2–1 Claudemir ⚽
80′
João Palhinha 🔁
↦ Paulinho
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
12 Tiago Sá G
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
87 Marcelo Goiano D
5 Sequeira D
36 Bruno Vianna D
25 Claudemir M
27 Fransérgio M
21 Ricardo Horta M
99 Dyego Sousa F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (7)
7 Wilson Eduardo
17 João Novais
60 João Palhinha
8 Ricardo
19 Murilo
28 Marafona
77 Francisco Trincão

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Chaves

4-3-3
1 António Filipe G
33 Lionn D
15 Luís Martins D
19 N. Maraš D
22 G. Campi D
25 Bruno Gallo M
16 E. Şen M
6 Jefferson M
11 William F
47 Rúben Macedo
30 Niltinho M
Bench (7)
2 Paulinho
40 N. Ćalasan
20 Costinha
12 R. Bressan
13 Ricardo Nunes
14 André Luis
99 Platiny

Coach: Tiago Fernandes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.