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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Ath Bilbao

S S U S T

0–0

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

23%

68%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

41%

68%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

23 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	15	5	2	+37	50
2	Real Madrid	23	14	3	6	+13	45
3	Ath Madrid	23	12	8	3	+16	44
4	Sevilla	23	10	7	6	+13	37
5	Getafe	23	9	8	6	+9	35
6	Betis	23	9	5	9	-3	32
7	Alaves	22	9	5	8	-5	32
8	Valencia	23	6	13	4	+4	31
9	Sociedad	23	8	7	8	+2	31
10	Eibar	23	7	9	7	-1	30
11	Leganes	23	7	8	8	-2	29
12	Espanol	23	8	4	11	-10	28
13	Levante	22	7	6	9	-8	27
14	Ath Bilbao	22	5	11	6	-5	26
15	Valladolid	23	6	8	9	-9	26
16	Celta	23	6	6	11	-4	24
17	Girona	23	5	9	9	-10	24
18	Vallecano	23	6	5	12	-13	23
19	Villarreal	23	3	11	9	-8	20
20	Huesca	23	4	6	13	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+13	29
2	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+23	27
3	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+13	25
4	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Eibar	12	6	4	2	+9	22
6	Betis	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Espanol	11	7	0	4	-1	21
8	Leganes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
9	Getafe	11	6	1	4	+9	19
10	Alaves	10	5	4	1	+4	19
11	Valencia	12	3	8	1	+6	17
12	Ath Bilbao	11	4	5	2	+0	17
13	Celta	12	4	4	4	+4	16
14	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
15	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Vallecano	12	3	4	5	-6	13
17	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	Girona	12	2	5	5	-7	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	12	1	6	5	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Real Madrid	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Getafe	12	3	7	2	+0	16
5	Ath Madrid	11	3	6	2	+3	15
6	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
7	Valladolid	12	3	5	4	-6	14
8	Sevilla	12	3	4	5	+1	13
9	Girona	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-9	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-4	11
13	Betis	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-7	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Leganes	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Celta	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-10	8
19	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-13	8
20	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.