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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Rennes
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
St Etienne
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
52%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
61%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rennes 11. · St Etienne 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 19 2 1 +55 59
2 Lille 23 14 4 5 +18 46
3 Lyon 23 12 7 4 +12 43
4 Montpellier 23 9 10 4 +12 37
5 St Etienne 22 10 7 5 +7 37
6 Marseille 24 11 4 9 +4 37
7 Strasbourg 23 9 8 6 +12 35
8 Reims 24 8 11 5 -1 35
9 Nice 23 9 7 7 -5 34
10 Nimes 24 9 6 9 +0 33
11 Rennes 23 9 6 8 +0 33
12 Angers 24 7 9 8 -2 30
13 Bordeaux 23 7 7 9 -2 28
14 Toulouse 24 6 9 9 -11 27
15 Nantes 23 6 6 11 -4 24
16 Amiens 24 6 3 15 -19 21
17 Dijon 23 5 5 13 -16 20
18 Monaco 24 4 7 13 -18 19
19 Caen 23 3 9 11 -12 18
20 Guingamp 22 3 5 14 -30 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes St Etienne
1–0 M. Niang
B. Bourigeaud
21′
I. Sarr 🔁
↦ T. Siebatcheu
31′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Romain Hamouma
62′
🔁 V. Vada
↦ M. Debuchy
62′
🔁 R. Berič
↦ L. Diony
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ M. Niang
63′
65′
🟨 Neven Subotić
J. Gelin 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
71′
77′
🔁 Y. Salibur
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
87′
🟨 Loïc Perrin
2–0 H. Ben Arfa
87′
90′
🟨 Romain Hamouma
90′
🟥 Romain Hamouma
3–0 A. Hunou
I. Sarr
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
2 M. Zeffane D
27 H. Traoré D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
8 C. Grenier M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
23 A. Hunou M
11 M. Niang F
9 T. Siebatcheu F
Bench (7)
7 I. Sarr
22 R. Del Castillo
26 J. Gelin
19 A. Lauriente
1 L. Badiashile
20 G. Nyamsi
33 E. Camavinga

Coach: J. Stéphan

St Etienne

3-4-1-2
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
26 M. Debuchy D
28 N. Subotić D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
11 Gabriel Silva D
21 R. Hamouma M
7 R. Cabella M
8 Y. Aït Bennasser M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
23 V. Vada
27 R. Berič
19 Y. Salibur
33 Kenny Rocha Santos
3 P. Polomat
18 A. Nordin
30 J. Moulin

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.