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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Torino
S U T S U
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
32%
18%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 10. · Udinese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 22 19 3 0 +31 60
2 Napoli 23 16 4 3 +24 52
3 Inter 23 13 4 6 +16 43
4 Roma 23 10 8 5 +14 38
5 Lazio 23 11 5 7 +7 38
6 Milan 22 9 9 4 +8 36
7 Atalanta 22 10 5 7 +18 35
8 Sampdoria 22 9 6 7 +10 33
9 Fiorentina 23 7 11 5 +8 32
10 Torino 22 7 10 5 +5 31
11 Sassuolo 22 7 9 6 +1 30
12 Parma 23 8 5 10 -7 29
13 Genoa 23 6 7 10 -10 25
14 Spal 22 5 7 10 -11 22
15 Cagliari 22 4 9 9 -12 21
16 Udinese 22 4 7 11 -12 19
17 Bologna 23 3 9 11 -17 18
18 Empoli 23 4 6 13 -18 18
19 Frosinone 22 2 7 13 -27 13
20 Chievo 23 1 9 13 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Udinese
1–0 O. Aina
C. Ansaldi
31′
Saša Lukić 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
D. Baselli 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
60′
65′
🟨 Rodrigo De Paul
66′
🔁 S. Ingelsson
↦ S. Fofana
68′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ I. Pussetto
Koffi Djidji 🟨
74′
S. Meïté 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
78′
79′
🟨 Sebastien De Maio
86′
🟨 William Troost-Ekong
90′
🟨 Sebastien De Maio
90′
🟥 Sebastien De Maio
93′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ M. DAlessandro
L. De Silvestri 🔁
↦ O. Aina
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
15 C. Ansaldi M
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina D
88 T. Rincón M
7 S. Lukić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (8)
8 D. Baselli
23 S. Meïté
29 L. De Silvestri
1 S. Ichazo
19 V. Damaşcan
25 A. Rosati
36 Bremer
72 V. Millico

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Udinese

5-3-2
1 J. Musso G
87 S. De Maio D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
77 M. D'Alessandro M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto M
38 R. Mandragora M
7 S. Okaka F
Bench (10)
13 S. Ingelsson
15 K. Lasagna
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
24 B. Wilmot
4 N. Opoku
14 P. Mićin
18 H. ter Avest
27 S. Perisan
88 Nicolas
90 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.