Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Genk
Gent
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mechelen
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 35 |
| 2 |
Standard
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 33 |
| 3 |
Waregem
|
15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 33 |
| 4 |
Club Brugge
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +23 | 32 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 |
| 6 |
Oostende
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 7 |
Gent
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 26 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |
Genk
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 |
Lokeren
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 |
Kortrijk
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 24 |
| 12 |
Eupen
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 20 |
| 13 |
St Truiden
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 |
Beveren
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 |
Westerlo
|
21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -22 | 15 |
| 16 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Bizot
J. Brabec
J. Uronen
T. Castagne
O. Ndidi
B. Heynen
L. Bailey
Coach: A. Stuivenberg
J. Rinne
M. Simon
Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.