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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Oostende
T S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Waregem
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 7. · Waregem 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Genk 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Cercle Brugge 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Gent 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Oostende 4 2 0 2 -3 6
8 Standard 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Waregem 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 St Truiden 4 0 4 0 +0 4
11 Charleroi 4 1 0 3 -1 3
12 Beveren 4 0 3 1 -3 3
13 Kortrijk 4 0 1 3 -7 1
14 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -8 1
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 0 0 4 -5 0
16 Eupen 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Waregem
27′
Hamdi Harbaoui 0–1
1–1 Wout Faes
35′
35′
🟨 Marvin Baudry
Wout Faes 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Florian Tardieu
Brecht Capon 🟨
59′
Fashion Sakala 🔁
↦ Sindrit Guri
59′
2–1 Kevin Vandendriessche
61′
64′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Nill De Pauw
73′
🔁 Mamadou Sylla
↦ Thomas Buffel
80′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
Jelle Bataille 🔁
↦ Brecht Capon
80′
82′
🔁 Hicham Faik
↦ Erdin Demir
Aleksandar Bjelica 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Davy de Fauw
3–1 Fashion Sakala
Fernando Canesin
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oostende

3-4-3
1 Fabrice Ondoa G
33 Žarko Tomašević D
4 Wout Faes D
5 Goran Milović D
27 Brecht Capon D
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
17 Jordi Vanlerberghe D
16 Aleksandar Bjelica D
9 Richairo Zivkovic F
10 Sindrit Guri F
55 Fernando Canesin F
Bench (7)
28 William Dutoit
14 Aristote Nkaka
6 Nicolas Lombaerts
25 Jelle Bataille
8 Francois Marquet
11 Indy Boonen
7 Fashion Sakala

Coach: G. Verheyen

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
6 Timothy Derijck D
3 Marvin Baudry D
18 Erdin Demir D
22 Florian Tardieu M
5 Damien Marcq M
7 Thomas Buffel F
11 Nill De Pauw F
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
23 Marco Burki
14 Sandy Walsh
20 Henrik Bjørdal
8 Hicham Faik
19 Mamadou Sylla
12 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.