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Pro League

Referee: Serge Gumienny

Genk

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 26/16 matches

Win Ø 48%

46%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · Charleroi 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	27	13	5	9	+7	44
2	Waregem	18	13	3	2	+19	42
3	Club Brugge	18	13	2	3	+27	41
4	Genk	26	12	5	9	+2	41
5	Standard	27	10	10	7	+10	40
6	Anderlecht	17	11	4	2	+26	37
7	Oostende	17	11	2	4	+16	35
8	Kortrijk	27	8	6	13	-14	30
9	Charleroi	16	8	5	3	+5	29
10	Lokeren	27	7	8	12	-9	29
11	Gent	17	8	4	5	+7	28
12	Beveren	27	6	9	12	-12	27
13	Eupen	27	7	6	14	-22	27
14	St Truiden	27	7	5	15	-13	26
15	Westerlo	27	5	7	15	-24	22
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	5	3	19	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	9	2	2	+10	29
2	Mechelen	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Standard	13	7	3	3	+11	24
4	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
5	Waregem	9	7	2	0	+12	23
6	St Truiden	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Gent	8	7	0	1	+12	21
8	Oostende	9	6	2	1	+15	20
9	Lokeren	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+19	19
11	Charleroi	8	6	1	1	+5	19
12	Kortrijk	13	5	3	5	+1	18
13	Beveren	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Eupen	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	9	6	0	3	+10	18
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Standard	14	3	7	4	-1	16
5	Mechelen	13	4	4	5	-3	16
6	Oostende	8	5	0	3	+1	15
7	Genk	13	3	3	7	-8	12
8	Kortrijk	14	3	3	8	-15	12
9	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Eupen	13	3	1	9	-16	10
11	Westerlo	14	2	4	8	-19	10
12	Lokeren	14	2	3	9	-11	9
13	Beveren	13	2	3	8	-13	9
14	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	2	1	10	-13	7
16	St Truiden	13	1	1	11	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.