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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Waregem
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Genk
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 14/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
43%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
79%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 7. · Genk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 15 7 3 5 -2 24
3 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +7 23
4 Antwerp 15 6 5 4 +2 23
5 Beveren 14 6 3 5 +9 21
6 Charleroi 10 6 3 1 +7 21
7 Waregem 14 6 1 7 +0 19
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 4 6 -4 19
9 Standard 10 4 4 2 +2 16
10 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
11 Oostende 15 4 3 8 -2 15
12 Kortrijk 15 3 5 7 -8 14
13 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
14 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
15 Mechelen 15 2 5 8 -9 11
16 Eupen 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Genk
7′
Pozuelo 0–1
J. Uronen
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Marcus Ingvartsen
54′
🟨 Thomas Buffel
57′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
A. Leya 🔁
↦ A. Cordaro
65′
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
65′
72′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Ingvartsen
86′
🔁 A. Khammas
↦ Pozuelo
Brian Hamalainen 🟨
87′
93′
🔁 J. Mæhle
↦ T. Buffel
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
25 L. Bostyn G
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
14 S. Walsh D
3 M. Baudry D
4 M. Heylen D
10 O. Kaya M
29 A. Cordaro M
23 J. De Sart M
43 S. Coopman M
33 I. Šaponjić F
Bench (7)
7 A. Leya
20 I. Doumbia
11 N. De Pauw
15 K. Madu
17 A. Bala
24 N. Leali
30 G. Kastanos

Coach: F. Dury

Genk

4-4-2
1 D. Vuković G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
45 J. Aidoo D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
27 Clinton Mata D
28 B. Heynen M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (8)
7 N. Karelis
5 A. Khammas
31 J. Mæhle
3 B. Nastić
4 D. Wouters
8 E. Zhegrova
16 D. Vanzeir
30 N. Jackers

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.