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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Mechelen
T S U T T
0–2
Full-time
Lokeren
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
9%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Lokeren 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 +11 21
2 St Truiden 11 6 2 3 +1 20
3 Antwerp 11 5 3 3 +3 18
4 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 5 3 3 +0 18
5 Waregem 11 5 1 5 +3 16
6 Beveren 11 4 3 4 +8 15
7 Charleroi 7 4 3 0 +6 15
8 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +3 14
9 Lokeren 11 3 3 5 -3 12
10 Standard 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
12 Kortrijk 11 2 4 5 -6 10
13 Eupen 11 2 3 6 -12 9
14 Gent 8 2 2 4 +0 8
15 Mechelen 11 1 5 5 -6 8
16 Oostende 11 1 2 8 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Lokeren
1′
M. Marić 0–1
K. Overmeire
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
22′
30′
🟨 Ari Freyr Skúlason
31′
🟨 Amine Benchaib
Colin Coosemans 🟨
32′
Mats Rits 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ N. Pedersen
55′
63′
🟨 Robin Soder
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
65′
72′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ S. Kehli
74′
🟨 Killian Overmeire
S. Dražić 🔁
↦ B. Bandé
78′
78′
🔁 L. Enoh
↦ T. De Sutter
83′
🔁 J. Michel
↦ A. Benchaib
88′
A. Skúlason 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-5-1
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
17 I. Tomečak M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
9 N. Pedersen F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
35 S. Ganvoula
20 D. Kolovos
99 S. Dražić
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris
55 Ž. Filipović
63 F. Rherras

Coach: T. Caluwé

Lokeren

4-3-3
13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder F
10 S. Kehli M
28 A. Benchaib M
9 T. De Sutter F
27 R. Söder F
Bench (7)
20 J. Rassoul
29 L. Enoh
8 J. Michel
2 S. Marzo
12 O. De Wolf
14 M. Terki
21 M. Mirić

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.