Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ranheim
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +37 | 61 |
| 2 |
Molde
|
30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | +15 | 54 |
| 3 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 |
| 4 |
Stromsgodset
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +8 | 50 |
| 5 |
Brann
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +15 | 47 |
| 6 |
Odd
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 42 |
| 7 |
Kristiansund
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 |
Valerenga
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | +2 | 39 |
| 9 |
Stabaek
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 |
Haugesund
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Tromso
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 |
Lillestrom
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 |
Sandefjord
|
30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 |
Sogndal
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 |
Aalesund
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 |
Viking
|
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -24 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Ranheim
Mjondalen
Ranheim
Ranheim
Sandnes ULF
Arendal
Ranheim
Ranheim
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.