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Pro League
Referee: Luc Wouters
Charleroi
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Gent
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 18 4 3 +33 58
2 Anderlecht 25 15 4 6 +12 49
3 Genk 25 11 10 4 +12 43
4 Standard 25 12 7 6 +7 43
5 Gent 24 12 6 6 +18 42
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
8 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
9 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
10 Charleroi 24 9 9 6 +4 36
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Gent
1–0 M. Fall
C. Bedia
23′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Pollet
M. Ilaimaharitra
54′
59′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ S. Kalu
60′
Y. Kubo 2–1
K. Rezaei 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
72′
72′
🔁 A. Christiansen
↦ Y. Kubo
Nurio Fortuna 🔁
↦ M. Fall
80′
83′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ G. Chakvetadze
C. Diandy 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
18 A. Baby
22 G. Hendrickx
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Fall
10 D. Pollet
99 C. Bedia
Bench (8)
9 K. Rezaei
25 Nurio Fortuna
13 C. Diandy
29 R. Grange
2 A. D'Alberto
6 G. Zajkov
14 C. Benavente
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
23 F. Andrijašević
6 B. Verstraete
32 T. Foket
7 G. Chakvetadze
31 Y. Kubo
17 R. Yaremchuk
18 S. Kalu
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
8 A. Christiansen
9 M. Sylla
4 S. Rosted
14 R. Janga
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luc Wouters · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
14,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.