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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Charleroi
U U U T T
1–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
43%
62%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 3 1 +29 54
2 Anderlecht 21 13 4 4 +12 43
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
5 Gent 21 11 5 5 +18 38
6 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
7 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
8 Standard 21 10 6 5 +6 36
9 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
10 Charleroi 21 9 8 4 +11 35
11 Genk 21 9 8 4 +10 35
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
3′
R. Morioka 0–1
L. Marković
23′
🔁 Josué Sá
↦ U. Spajić
Half-time 0–1
A. Baby 🔁
↦ D. Dessoleil
46′
1–1 A. Baby
Nurio Fortuna
47′
64′
Ł. Teodorczyk 1–2
R. Grange 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
71′
83′
🔁 A. Lokonga
↦ R. Morioka
M. Fall 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
86′
89′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ A. Saelemaekers
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

35 P. Mandanda
17 S. Marinos
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
6 G. Zajkov
25 Nurio Fortuna
14 C. Benavente
22 G. Hendrickx
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
9 K. Rezaei
99 C. Bedia
Bench (8)
18 A. Baby
29 R. Grange
77 M. Fall
2 A. D'Alberto
10 D. Pollet
13 C. Diandy
15 V. Baume
41 F. N'Ganga

Coach: F. Mazzù

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
37 I. Obradović
5 U. Spajić
20 S. Kums
10 R. Morioka
15 K. Saief
50 L. Marković
8 P. Gerkens
32 L. Dendoncker
56 A. Saelemaekers
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
Bench (7)
2 Josué Sá
48 A. Lokonga
47 A. Dante
11 A. Chipciu
30 B. de Jong
35 S. Ganvoula
40 F. Amuzu

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.