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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
S S T U U
4–1
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 11. · Kongsvinger 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandnes ULF 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Notodden 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Aalesund 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Strommen 4 2 0 2 +4 6
5 Viking 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Mjondalen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Ull/Kisa 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Asane 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Floro 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 Kongsvinger 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Sogndal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Ham-Kam 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Jerv 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Tromsdalen Uil 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Levanger 4 0 1 3 -5 1
16 Nest-Sotra 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Kongsvinger
13′
J. Kolstad 0–1
1–1 J. Soltvedt
17′
2–1 E. Schulze
36′
3–1 U. Fredriksen
41′
Half-time 3–1
51′
🔁 E. Bydal
↦ J. Kolstad
O. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ T. Totland
62′
4–1 U. Fredriksen
62′
70′
🔁 M. Aanesland
↦ M. Vinjor
U. Flo 🔁
↦ U. Fredriksen
71′
J. Hove 🔁
↦ S. Mandić
76′
78′
🔁 M. Lundal
↦ F. Pålerud
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
2 A. Latifu
3 P. Steiring
16 R. Greenidge
31 U. Fredriksen
29 T. Totland
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
30 J. Soltvedt
24 S. Jensen
10 S. Mandić
Bench (7)
14 O. Rindarøy
9 U. Flo
28 J. Hove
12 K. Haug
17 M. Fofana
18 S. Haugen
22 L. Kjemhus

Coach: E. Bakke

Kongsvinger

25 S. Thomas
18 I. Mafi
2 F. Pålerud
5 C. Røer
14 M. Skjellum
23 F. Sjølstad
11 O. Øby
17 J. Kolstad
12 M. Vinjor
7 N. Castro
26 S. Ibrahim
Bench (7)
20 E. Bydal
13 M. Aanesland
19 M. Lundal
16 H. Holter
22 L. Langrekken
24 R. Essaeh
27 T. Trautner

Coach: H. Eriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.