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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Club Brugge
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 67%
52%
81%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
52%
76%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 5. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 3 1 +29 54
2 Anderlecht 22 14 4 4 +13 46
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
5 Gent 21 11 5 5 +18 38
6 Genk 22 10 8 4 +11 38
7 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
8 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +5 36
10 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
11 Charleroi 22 9 8 5 +10 35
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Club Brugge
1–0 S. Kalu
M. Simon
2′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ A. Touba
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
63′
69′
🔁 Wesley
↦ Abdoulay Diaby
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ M. Simon
74′
83′
🔁 E. Dennis
↦ D. Cools
F. Andrijašević 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
19 B. Dejaegere
6 B. Verstraete
32 T. Foket
44 A. Esiti
14 R. Janga
27 M. Simon
18 S. Kalu
Bench (9)
7 G. Chakvetadze
17 R. Yaremchuk
23 F. Andrijašević
4 S. Rosted
8 A. Christiansen
9 M. Sylla
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet
31 Y. Kubo

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Club Brugge

32 K. Vermeer
24 S. Denswil
15 M. Mitrović
44 B. Mechele
21 D. Cools
96 A. Touba
25 R. Vormer
20 H. Vanaken
30 M. Nakamba
8 L. Refaelov
10 Abdoulay Diaby
Bench (7)
11 K. Diatta
7 Wesley
42 E. Dennis
1 V. Gabulov
2 A. Scholz
6 J. Clasie
9 J. Vossen

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.