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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Charleroi
S U U U U
0–1
Full-time
Gent
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
41%
55%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
41%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 23 15 5 3 +32 50
2 Waregem 23 14 6 3 +20 48
3 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
4 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
5 Club Brugge 23 13 5 5 +25 44
6 Oostende 23 12 6 5 +19 42
7 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
8 Gent 22 12 5 5 +14 41
9 Charleroi 22 9 10 3 +6 37
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Gent
16′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
23′
Y. Kubo 0–1
Cristian Benavente 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ S. Willems
46′
46′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ A. Esiti
H. Harbaoui 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
61′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
72′
Hamdi Harbaoui 🟨
74′
80′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ S. Kalu
Clement Tainmont 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 T. Matton
↦ M. Simon
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-3
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 D. Marcq M
13 C. Diandy M
14 C. Benavente M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
7 C. Tainmont
9 H. Harbaoui
10 D. Pollet
17 S. Marinos
18 A. Baby
22 G. Hendrickx
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Gent

3-4-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
77 D. Miličević F
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
32 T. Foket
8 T. Matton
1 J. Rinne
4 W. Troost-Ekong
16 R. Schoofs
24 J. Perbet

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.