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Pro League

Referee: Bram

Genk

T S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

43%

21%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

63%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Corners 7

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	Club Brugge	16	12	2	2	+27	38
3	Mechelen	24	11	5	8	+4	38
4	Anderlecht	17	11	4	2	+26	37
5	Standard	25	9	9	7	+9	36
6	Genk	23	10	4	9	-2	34
7	Kortrijk	25	8	6	11	-11	30
8	Oostende	15	9	2	4	+13	29
9	Gent	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
11	St Truiden	24	7	5	12	-6	26
12	Lokeren	25	6	8	11	-7	26
13	Eupen	24	5	6	13	-22	21
14	Beveren	23	4	8	11	-14	20
15	Westerlo	24	4	7	13	-23	19
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	24	5	3	16	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+7	25
3	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
4	Standard	12	7	2	3	+11	23
5	St Truiden	13	6	4	3	+7	22
6	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
7	Waregem	8	6	2	0	+9	20
8	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+19	19
9	Kortrijk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Oostende	8	5	2	1	+13	17
11	Beveren	12	4	5	3	+2	17
12	Lokeren	12	4	5	3	+1	17
13	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
14	Eupen	12	3	5	4	-5	14
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-10	11
16	Westerlo	11	2	3	6	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+10	15
4	Standard	13	2	7	4	-2	13
5	Mechelen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
6	Oostende	7	4	0	3	+0	12
7	Kortrijk	13	3	3	7	-14	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
9	Westerlo	13	2	4	7	-18	10
10	Lokeren	13	2	3	8	-8	9
11	Genk	11	2	2	7	-11	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	1	9	-12	7
13	Eupen	12	2	1	9	-17	7
14	Gent	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Beveren	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.