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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Nijmegen
S U S S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
30%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nijmegen 9. · Go Ahead Eagles 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 20 16 3 1 +42 51
2 Ajax 20 14 4 2 +28 46
3 PSV Eindhoven 20 12 7 1 +21 43
4 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +7 33
5 Heerenveen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Utrecht 18 8 6 4 +6 30
7 Twente 20 8 6 6 +3 30
8 AZ Alkmaar 18 7 8 3 +8 29
9 Nijmegen 20 6 7 7 -11 25
10 Groningen 19 5 7 7 -1 22
11 Willem II 20 5 7 8 -8 22
12 Heracles 20 5 6 9 -9 21
13 Sparta Rotterdam 20 4 6 10 -9 18
14 Excelsior 20 4 5 11 -15 17
15 Den Haag 21 5 2 14 -21 17
16 Zwolle 20 4 5 11 -23 17
17 Roda 20 2 10 8 -13 16
18 Go Ahead Eagles 20 3 4 13 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen Go Ahead Eagles
12′
E. Manu 0–1
D. Crowley
15′
🟨 Jarchinio Antonia
24′
🟨 Elvis Manu
25′
J. Antonia 0–2
Chirivella
Kevin Mayi 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
A. Messaoud 🔁
↦ J. von Haacke
46′
Jordan Larsson 🔁
↦ K. Mayi
46′
63′
🟨 Elvis Manu
63′
🟥 Elvis Manu
71′
🔁 J. Suk
↦ D. Crowley
A. Groeneveld 🔁
↦ F. Kadioglu
73′
75′
🔁 N. Nieveld
↦ S. Duits
77′
🟨 Theo Zwarthoed
84′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ S. Hendriks
1–2 J. Grot
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-3-3
1 J. Delle G
6 M. Dyrestam D
3 D. Dumić D
24 A. Fomitschow D
4 W. Golla D
34 G. Breinburg M
19 J. von Haacke M
16 F. Kadioglu M
18 K. Mayi F
20 M. Rayhi F
17 J. Grot F
Bench (9)
21 A. Messaoud
11 Jordan Larsson
47 A. Groeneveld
23 M. van Duin
9 T. Awoniyi
22 J. Smits
15 R. Buwalda
2 M. Heinloth
8 Janio Bikel

Coach: P. Hyballa

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (5)
8 J. Suk
23 N. Nieveld
11 L. Marengo
13 E. Cummins
22 D. Hettinga

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.