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Pro League

Referee: Gumienny

Waregem

S S T U U

1–0

Full-time

Genk

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 13/18 matches

Win Ø 54%

69%

39%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

61%

Both score Ø 55%

54%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1 Corners 4

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 4. · Genk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	20	10	4	6	+5	34
2	Standard	19	9	5	5	+15	32
3	Anderlecht	13	9	2	2	+22	29
4	Waregem	13	9	2	2	+13	29
5	Club Brugge	12	8	2	2	+19	26
6	Gent	13	8	2	3	+10	26
7	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
8	Genk	18	7	4	7	-6	25
9	Kortrijk	19	6	6	7	-6	24
10	Oostende	11	7	2	2	+15	23
11	Lokeren	19	6	4	9	-5	22
12	St Truiden	20	5	4	11	-8	19
13	Beveren	19	4	6	9	-12	18
14	Eupen	19	4	5	10	-17	17
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	20	3	3	14	-24	12
16	Westerlo	20	2	6	12	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Mechelen	11	7	1	3	+7	22
3	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
4	Genk	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+15	17
6	Oostende	7	5	2	0	+15	17
7	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
8	Beveren	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Anderlecht	6	5	0	1	+17	15
10	Kortrijk	9	4	3	2	+5	15
11	St Truiden	10	4	3	3	+3	15
12	Lokeren	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	Waregem	5	4	1	0	+7	13
14	Eupen	9	3	4	2	-1	13
15	Westerlo	9	1	3	5	-6	6
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	8	5	1	2	+6	16
2	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
4	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
5	Standard	10	2	4	4	-2	10
6	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-11	9
8	Lokeren	10	2	2	6	-6	8
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	1	7	-10	7
10	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Westerlo	11	1	3	7	-19	6
12	Gent	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Genk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
14	St Truiden	10	1	1	8	-11	4
15	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-16	4
16	Beveren	9	0	2	7	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.