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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Lille
T U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Lorient
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
23%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
36%
73%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 11. · Lorient 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 23 16 4 3 +46 52
2 Nice 23 14 7 2 +20 49
3 Paris SG 22 14 4 4 +26 46
4 Lyon 21 12 1 8 +15 37
5 St Etienne 22 8 9 5 +6 33
6 Marseille 23 9 6 8 +1 33
7 Bordeaux 22 8 8 6 -3 32
8 Guingamp 22 8 7 7 +2 31
9 Rennes 22 8 6 8 -4 30
10 Toulouse 22 7 5 10 -4 26
11 Lille 22 7 5 10 -6 26
12 Nantes 22 7 5 10 -14 26
13 Metz 22 7 5 10 -16 26
14 Dijon 22 5 9 8 -2 24
15 Nancy 21 6 6 9 -9 24
16 Montpellier 22 5 8 9 -9 23
17 Angers 22 6 5 11 -9 23
18 Bastia 22 5 7 10 -7 22
19 Caen 21 6 4 11 -12 22
20 Lorient 22 5 3 14 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Lorient
41′
🟨 Alhassan Wakaso
Half-time 0–1
49′
J. Aliadière 0–1
S. Marveaux
Éder 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
60′
R. Kishna 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
60′
60′
🔁 J. Cabot
↦ J. Aliadière
Franck Béria 🟨
65′
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ Xeka
79′
83′
🔁 W. Mesloub
↦ R. Philippoteaux
90′
🔁 Cafú
↦ S. Marveaux
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
25 M. Baša D
18 F. Béria D
2 S. Corchia D
23 A. Soumaoro D
6 I. Amadou M
27 N. Sliti M
8 Xeka M
12 N. de Préville F
9 Y. Benzia M
7 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
19 Éder
10 R. Kishna
21 Y. Bissouma
15 J. Palmieri
30 J. Butez
26 F. Bahlouli
22 J. Alonso

Coach: P. Collot

Lorient

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
6 F. Bellugou M
25 V. Le Goff D
15 M. Peybernes D
20 S. Moreira D
10 S. Marveaux M
7 A. Mvuemba M
23 A. Wakaso M
19 R. Philippoteaux M
14 J. Aliadière F
9 A. Waris F
Bench (7)
27 J. Cabot
17 W. Mesloub
8 Cafú
24 W. Lautoa
5 Z. Touré
16 P. Delecroix
34 E. Koffi

Coach: B. Casoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.