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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Heracles
S T S T T
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
26%
58%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 15 3 1 +38 48
2 Ajax 19 13 4 2 +25 43
3 PSV Eindhoven 19 11 7 1 +20 40
4 Heerenveen 18 9 4 5 +13 31
5 Utrecht 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 AZ Alkmaar 17 7 8 2 +9 29
7 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +4 27
8 Twente 19 7 6 6 +2 27
9 Nijmegen 19 6 7 6 -7 25
10 Willem II 20 5 7 8 -8 22
11 Groningen 18 5 6 7 -1 21
12 Heracles 19 5 6 8 -8 21
13 Sparta Rotterdam 20 4 6 10 -9 18
14 Excelsior 19 4 5 10 -11 17
15 Den Haag 19 5 2 12 -16 17
16 Zwolle 19 4 5 10 -22 17
17 Roda 19 1 10 8 -17 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 20 3 4 13 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 0–1
50′
B. Ramselaar 0–1
Mike te Wierik 🟨
51′
K. Peterson 🔁
↦ B. Darri
61′
70′
🔁 J. Brenet
↦ J. Willems
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ P. van Ooijen
73′
1–1 S. Armenteros
B. Kuwas
74′
Thomas Bruns 🟨
77′
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
77′
79′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ G. Pereiro
83′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ B. Ramselaar
87′
D. Pröpper 1–2
M. van Ginkel
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
12 W. Droste D
3 M. te Wierik D
27 J. Hoogma D
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
9 S. Armenteros F
7 B. Darri F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (9)
18 K. Peterson
19 V. Vermeij
8 L. Duarte
4 R. Pröpper
15 J. Navrátil
25 R. Fij
28 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer
30 T. van de Berg

Coach: J. Stegeman

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 J. Willems M
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
28 M. van Ginkel M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (10)
20 J. Brenet
27 S. Bergwijn
10 S. de Jong
8 J. Hendrix
14 S. Poulsen
22 R. Pasveer
25 O. Zinchenko
31 H. Jurjus
50 S. Lammers
45 D. van Bruggen

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.