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Championship
QPR
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Burton Albion
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Burton Albion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match QPR 17. · Burton Albion 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 27 18 6 3 +25 60
2 Newcastle 27 19 1 7 +33 58
3 Leeds 28 16 3 9 +12 51
4 Huddersfield 25 15 4 6 +5 49
5 Reading 25 14 4 7 +7 46
6 Derby 27 12 7 8 +6 43
7 Barnsley 27 12 5 10 +5 41
8 Norwich 27 12 4 11 +5 40
9 Preston 27 11 7 9 +3 40
10 Sheffield Weds 25 11 6 8 +2 39
11 Fulham 25 9 10 6 +8 37
12 Birmingham 27 9 10 8 -5 37
13 Aston Villa 27 8 12 7 +1 36
14 Ipswich 27 9 7 11 -5 34
15 Brentford 27 9 6 12 -1 33
16 Cardiff 27 9 6 12 -10 33
17 QPR 27 9 6 12 -11 33
18 Wolves 27 8 8 11 -3 32
19 Nott'm Forest 28 8 6 14 -9 30
20 Bristol City 27 8 3 16 -4 27
21 Wigan 27 6 7 14 -8 25
22 Burton Albion 27 6 7 14 -11 25
23 Blackburn 27 6 7 14 -12 25
24 Rotherham 27 4 4 19 -33 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Sep -16 Burton Albion – QPR 1–1

Match report

QPR Burton Albion
5′
🔁 J. Mousinho
↦ J. Brayford
11′
L. Murphy 0–1
L. Dyer
Half-time 0–1
C. Washington 🔁
↦ G. Hall
46′
52′
L. Dyer 0–2
L. Christensen
1–2 C. Washington
63′
72′
🔁 L. Akins
↦ L. Christensen
R. Manning 🔁
↦ M. Doughty
74′
J. Mackie 🔁
↦ J. Bidwell
87′
87′
🔁 C. Woodrow
↦ M. Sordell
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha
6 J. Lynch
4 G. Hall
3 J. Bidwell
29 D. Furlong
28 K. LuaLua
40 Idrissa Sylla
15 P. Wszołek
16 M. Doughty
21 M. Luongo
Bench (7)
9 C. Washington
41 R. Manning
12 J. Mackie
13 M. Ingram
24 J. Perch
27 O. Shodipo
39 E. Eze

Coach: I. Holloway

Burton Albion

1 J. McLaughlin
6 B. Turner
3 J. Brayford
14 D. McCrory
2 T. Flanagan
11 L. Dyer
30 L. Murphy
24 L. Christensen
36 J. Irvine
16 M. Palmer
9 M. Sordell
Bench (7)
4 J. Mousinho
10 L. Akins
12 C. Woodrow
7 L. Williamson
13 S. Bywater
18 W. Miller
25 S. Barker

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.