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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Villarreal

S S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Granada

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

42%

Points per game

1,6

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

37%

53%

Both score Ø 58%

42%

74%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Granada 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+31	43
2	Sevilla	19	13	3	3	+17	42
3	Barcelona	19	12	5	2	+34	41
4	Ath Madrid	19	10	5	4	+18	35
5	Sociedad	19	11	2	6	+6	35
6	Villarreal	19	8	7	4	+12	31
7	Ath Bilbao	19	8	5	6	+3	29
8	Celta	19	8	3	8	-4	27
9	Espanol	19	6	8	5	-1	26
10	Eibar	19	7	5	7	-3	26
11	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	Alaves	19	5	8	6	-3	23
13	Malaga	20	5	7	8	-6	22
14	Betis	19	6	4	9	-10	22
15	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-5	19
16	La Coruna	19	4	7	8	-5	19
17	Leganes	19	4	6	9	-16	18
18	Sp Gijon	19	3	4	12	-18	13
19	Osasuna	20	1	7	12	-22	10
20	Granada	19	1	7	11	-26	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	9	8	0	1	+10	24
3	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
5	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
6	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Las Palmas	10	5	5	0	+9	20
8	Sociedad	10	6	2	2	+4	20
9	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
10	Malaga	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+0	17
12	Betis	10	4	4	2	+0	16
13	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
14	Espanol	10	3	5	2	+2	14
15	Alaves	9	2	5	2	-1	11
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	9	1	4	4	-6	7
20	Osasuna	11	0	4	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+18	23
2	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Ath Madrid	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Sociedad	9	5	0	4	+2	15
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Leganes	10	3	2	5	-10	11
11	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Celta	9	1	3	5	-7	6
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Malaga	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	La Coruna	10	0	5	5	-10	5
18	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
19	Sp Gijon	10	0	3	7	-11	3
20	Granada	10	0	3	7	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.