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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Roda

U T U T T

4–0

Full-time

Excelsior

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 13%

21%

Points per game

0,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

21%

63%

Both score Ø 47%

26%

68%

Average goals

1,7

3,1

Scored

0,4

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roda 17. · Excelsior 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	19	15	3	1	+38	48
2	Ajax	19	13	4	2	+25	43
3	PSV Eindhoven	19	11	7	1	+20	40
4	Heerenveen	18	9	4	5	+13	31
5	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	17	7	8	2	+9	29
7	Vitesse	19	7	6	6	+4	27
8	Twente	19	7	6	6	+2	27
9	Nijmegen	19	6	7	6	-7	25
10	Willem II	20	5	7	8	-8	22
11	Groningen	18	5	6	7	-1	21
12	Heracles	19	5	6	8	-8	21
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Excelsior	19	4	5	10	-11	17
15	Den Haag	19	5	2	12	-16	17
16	Zwolle	19	4	5	10	-22	17
17	Roda	19	1	10	8	-17	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	20	3	4	13	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	10	8	2	0	+23	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
4	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Nijmegen	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	5	1	+4	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Willem II	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Den Haag	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Groningen	9	2	4	3	-6	10
17	Zwolle	10	2	3	5	-12	9
18	Roda	9	0	5	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	4	0	+13	19
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
7	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
8	Groningen	9	3	2	4	+5	11
9	Twente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-9	9
12	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
14	Heracles	10	1	4	5	-10	7
15	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Excelsior	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	10	0	3	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.