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Pro League
Referee: Joeri Van De Velde
Standard
T U S T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Corners 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Standard 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 14 6 5 3 +4 23
3 Genk 14 6 3 5 -1 21
4 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Standard 13 5 4 4 +8 19
6 Mechelen 14 5 4 5 +2 19
7 Club Brugge 9 5 2 2 +9 17
8 Oostende 9 5 2 2 +4 17
9 Gent 8 5 1 2 +5 16
10 Charleroi 9 4 4 1 +3 16
11 Eupen 14 4 3 7 -10 15
12 Beveren 13 3 4 6 -9 13
13 Lokeren 14 3 3 8 -8 12
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 3 2 8 -8 11
15 St Truiden 14 2 4 8 -8 10
16 Westerlo 14 2 3 9 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Eyong Enoh 🟨
15′
27′
🟨 David Hubert
45′
🔁 I. Feruz
↦ S. Diédhiou
Half-time 0–0
Wallyson Mallmann 🔁
↦ E. Enoh
46′
1–0 I. Belfodil
55′
58′
🟨 Mickael Tirpan
66′
🔁 R. Ferber
↦ M. Tirpan
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ Orlando Sá
69′
2–0 Edmilson Junior
B. Raman
71′
74′
Trézéguet 2–1
L. Stojanović
75′
🟨 Mahmoud Trezeguet
82′
🟨 Mahmoud Trezeguet
82′
🟥 Mahmoud Trezeguet
89′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ T. Peyre
R. Emond 🔁
↦ B. Raman
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Standard

28 G. Hubert G
2 R. Goreux D
13 A. Scholz D
34 K. Laifis D
24 C. Fiore D
21 E. Enoh M
44 I. Cissé M
22 Edmilson Junior M
70 Orlando Sá F
99 I. Belfodil F
8 B. Raman F
Bench (7)
42 Wallyson Mallmann
14 I. Mbenza
9 R. Emond
1 J. Gillet
12 B. Badibanga
31 William
45 D. Lavalée

Coach: A. Janković

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
23 M. Tirpan D
34 S. Simič D
29 T. Peyre D
26 A. Nkaka D
5 D. Hubert M
22 L. Stojanović M
11 D. Mohamed F
10 Trézéguet M
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
99 I. Feruz
9 R. Ferber
8 F. Olinga
4 K. Essikal
15 D. Graovac
24 N. Gulan
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.