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Eliteserien

Referee: S Sinnes

KFUM Oslo

S U U U S

1–3

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KFUM Oslo Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,29 xG 2,32

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match KFUM Oslo 12. · Stromsgodset 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+8	+3.5	9
2	Molde	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.8	9
3	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
4	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.8	6
5	Brann	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.3	4
6	Odd	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.7	4
7	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
8	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
9	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.3	4
10	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	-3	-1.3	3
11	Lillestrom	3	1	0	2	-4	-1.2	3
12	KFUM Oslo	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.5	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.4	1
16	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.8	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
3	Viking	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Kristiansund	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Odd	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
13	Brann	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0
15	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.5	6
2	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.8	6
3	Brann	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
4	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
5	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Odd	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Molde	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
9	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.5	1
11	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.4	1
12	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
13	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.