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Pro League
Charleroi
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Genk
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 49%
43%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 23 2 5 +53 71
2 Anderlecht 30 17 7 6 +13 58
3 Gent 30 16 8 6 +19 56
4 Genk 28 15 4 9 +17 49
5 Oostende 30 14 7 9 +9 49
6 Charleroi 28 12 7 9 +8 43
7 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
8 Kortrijk 30 10 9 11 -1 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Waregem 30 10 6 14 -5 36
11 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Genk
1–0 A. Baby
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Kumordzi
↦ S. Dewaest
2–0 J. Perbet
50′
55′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ Y. Buyens
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ S. Ninis
62′
64′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ N. Kebano
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ A. Baby
75′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
29 S. Ninis
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
25 D. Marcq
7 C. Tainmont
10 D. Pollet
5 B. Boulenger
22 G. François
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
71 Y. Buyens
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
11 I. de Camargo
Bench (7)
8 B. Kumordzi
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
4 B. Hamalainen
7 N. Karelis
15 D. Wouters
30 N. Jackers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.