Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Charleroi
Genk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | +53 | 71 |
| 2 |
Anderlecht
|
30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 58 |
| 3 |
Gent
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +19 | 56 |
| 4 |
Genk
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +17 | 49 |
| 5 |
Oostende
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +9 | 49 |
| 6 |
Charleroi
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 43 |
| 7 |
Standard
|
30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | -10 | 42 |
| 8 |
Kortrijk
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Mechelen
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 37 |
| 10 |
Waregem
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 |
Lokeren
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |
Westerlo
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -24 | 30 |
| 14 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 |
St Truiden
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 |
Beveren
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -24 | 29 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Clinton Mata
M. Bizot
C. Kabasele
J. Uronen
O. Ndidi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kortrijk
Charleroi
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St Truiden
Charleroi
Charleroi
Lokeren
Charleroi
Mechelen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.