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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Leicester
T U U S U
3–0
Full-time
Stoke
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
55%
41%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
59%
32%
Both score Ø 52%
68%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 2. · Stoke 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 22 13 5 4 +16 44
2 Leicester 22 12 8 2 +13 44
3 Man City 22 13 4 5 +22 43
4 Tottenham 22 10 9 3 +20 39
5 Man United 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 West Ham 22 9 8 5 +8 35
7 Liverpool 23 9 7 7 -2 34
8 Stoke 22 9 6 7 +2 33
9 Crystal Palace 22 9 4 9 -1 31
10 Southampton 22 8 6 8 +7 30
11 Everton 22 6 11 5 +7 29
12 Watford 22 8 5 9 +0 29
13 West Brom 22 7 6 9 -8 27
14 Chelsea 22 6 7 9 -3 25
15 Bournemouth 22 6 6 10 -11 24
16 Norwich 23 6 5 12 -15 23
17 Swansea 22 5 7 10 -10 22
18 Newcastle 22 5 6 11 -15 21
19 Sunderland 22 5 3 14 -18 18
20 Aston Villa 22 2 6 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -15 Stoke – Leicester 2–2

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.